The Claim: President Donald Trump Won The 2020 Election
Weeks after the bitterly fought presidential race ended with the naming of Joe Biden as the projected winner over President Donald Trump, some are still claiming a victor can not yet be named.
President Trump won and the world is starting to see! Fight on Patriots to #Victory! a Nov. 29 reads. The user who made the post did not respond to USA TODAYs request for comment.
That same claim has been promoted by the president himself, who has not yet conceded the election to Biden.
NO WAY WE LOST THIS ELECTION! Trump tweeted Nov. 29, along with a video of his supporters.
Can President Trump Win An Electoral College Majority In 2020
The 2016 election was a bracing reminder that the presidency is won or lost in the states and not in the national popular vote. Donald Trump lost nationally by 2.9 million votes while winning a comfortable Electoral College majority.
Can he repeat this feat in 2020? Yes. Can he do it if he loses than national popular vote by a larger margin than four years ago? Probably not. To win reelection, President Trump will have to reduce Joe Bidens national vote advantage, which now stands at more than 10 percentage points, by about 8 points during the final two weeks of the campaign, an accomplishment for which theres no clear precedent in American history. If he falls just short of replicating his 2016 showing, the country could be plunged into a dangerous political and legal struggle combining the worst features of 2000 and 1876.
Having learned their lesson in 2016, when pollsters for various media companies had pretty good estimates of the eventual national vote but missed significantly in what turned out to be the crucial states, survey researchers are doing more polls with higher quality in the swing states this year. This enables us to gauge with some confidence the current situation in the 13 states that could conceivably swing into either partys column, either now or at some point in 2020.
Table 1: Biden lead in swing states
Scenario 1. Trump cuts Bidens lead in half
Scenario 2. Trump cuts Bidens lead to 4 points
Scenario 4: The nightmare
What Does America Need From A President Now Page Of Cups
America needs new ideas, creative approaches to its problems, and a sense of wholesomeness restoring to its political landscape. The Page of Cups sees the world with wonder, optimism and hope.
The Page of Cups seeks to bring people together, enjoy the world around him, and revitalise flagging or jaded energies.
America needs hope for the future, a promise of better times ahead, and someone who they feel has their best interests, collectively and individually, at heart.
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Gsa Delays Certifying Biden As President
Although all major media outlets called the election for Biden on November 7, the head of the General Services Administration , Trump appointee Emily W. Murphy, refused for over two weeks to certify Biden as the president-elect. Without formal GSA certification or “ascertainment” of the winner of the election, the official transition process was delayed. On November 23, Murphy acknowledged Biden as the winner and said the Trump administration would begin the formal transition process. Trump said he had instructed his administration to “do what needs to be done” but did not concede, and indicated he intended to continue his fight to overturn the election results.
Trumps Fixation On The Past Puts His Political Future In Limbo
But some Trump allies believe he may ultimately opt against a run, either for health reasons or, if Bidens poll numbers rebound, because he doesnt want to risk a second loss, even though he has yet to acknowledge the first defeat.
So far, a slew of prominent Republicans have begun making overt moves to run in 2024. Whether they will abandon their own White House dreams if the former president were to run again is another matter entirely.
Former Vice President Mike Pence, former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Sens. Tom Cotton and Ted Cruz are among those who made appearances in early voting states, and some have started securing top political consultants. Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley has hinted shed mount a bid but wouldnt run against Trump if he decides to enter the race. Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson has suggested he may run even if Trump does. And there is Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has emerged as an heir-apparent to Trump and the populist MAGA movement.
Things may be just as uncertain on the Democratic side of the ledger. If Biden opts against seeking reelection, the field may not clear out for Vice President Kamala Harris, who has yet to find her political footing in the role. Two 2020 candidates, Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Cory Booker , each have held recent high-profile events on hot button election topics.
If Biden opts to seek a second term, a serious primary challenge would be unlikely.
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Ivanka Trump Fusses Over Dress In Jan 6 Documentary Teaser
Asked about Morris book, Trump told The Post, Ive known Dick Morris for a longtime and his father was a great real estate lawyer who represented me very well. Dick is a very talented person, and I would ask for his advice and opinions on matters of politics. Its what he loves and does best, and hes very good at it.
On another issue important to voters, Morris said Trump and the Republicans have a strong hand to play as the law-and-order party and paint Biden and the Democrats as soft on crime during the fall midterms and in 2024.
He said the left wing of the Democratic Partys campaign to defund the police is a gift to Trump and the GOP.
The crime issue is particularly toxic for the Democrats, because it is obvious to voters that it was not nearly as bad a problem before Biden was elected. Back in 2019, and before, crime had fallen out of the headlines and faded in popular consciousness. But after Bidens election, the movement to defund the police, and the vilification of dedicated, responsible, fair, and hardworking police officers has set the crime rate soaring. So who is to blame? Figure it out!, Morris said.
The Left wants to cut the number of uniformed police and replace them with social workers and psychologists to stem violence and escalation. So the next time you worry that a criminal is trying to break into your home, call 911 and wait for a social worker to arrive, he said.
United States Presidential Election In Texas
The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbiaparticipated. Texan voters chose 38 electors to represent them in the Electoral College. In a popular vote the Republican Party‘s nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice PresidentMike Pence won all the electors against the Democratic Party‘s nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris.
This was the first election since 1964, when Texas native Lyndon B. Johnson was on the ballot, that Texas’ five of the largest cities, Houston, San Antonio, Dallas, Austin, and Fort Worth, voted Democratic at the same time.
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Explain Why He Thinks He Can Win
Can Trump possibly convince voters that he can beat the current president, given that he lost to him before in a record-high turnout election? Even Conant said it was “unlikely” Trump could win again.
“He has to find people who don’t yet like him to vote for him, but everyone has made up their mind on Donald Trump,” said Conant, who’s now founding partner at the public affairs firm Firehouse Strategies.
Some GOP insiders said Trump would be able to attack Biden’s record if the current president’s poll numbers continued to crater. But Mike DuHaime, CEO of MAD Global Strategy Group who advised former Gov. Chris Christie’s 2016 presidential campaign, said even that would prove a challenge.
“Biden is seen as personally likable,” DuHaime said. “That goes a long way when it comes to voting.”
Plus, when a candidate challenges an incumbent, he or she needs to be able to make the election a referendum on the current president, he said.
“Biden is very beatable, but Trump would have a harder time than anyone else because then the race becomes about Trump,” DuHaime said. “You want the race to be about the incumbent, especially if they are unpopular.”
This all presumes that Biden will seek a second term. The president, who is 79 years old and would be 82 on Inauguration Day 2025, has indicated he will run again and that Harris will again be his running mate. But more than a year may pass before Biden formally decides and files for re-election.
Many Of Us Wonder If Joe Biden And Donald Trump Are Getting Too Old For This But We May Have A Dinosaur Race In 2024
President Joe Biden is photographed on July 28, 2022. Many wonder who will win the presidential nominations for the Republican and Democratic parties. Will we end up with Trump and Biden again?
Susan Walsh, Associated Press
Despite big problems, both President Joseph Biden and former President Donald Trump have in some ways enjoyed a reasonably good August so far. Both have terribly low approval ratings, but both have shown resiliency.
Trump may be in trouble with the U.S. Department of Justice, but he remains the most popular Republican and the favorite to win the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. Biden, meanwhile, has a majority of Democrats hoping he wont seek r-election, but he has enjoyed a string of recent legislative wins.
So, whats up with these two old guys?
Both Trump and Biden will break records for age if they run again in 2024. Why are these octogenarians dominating the presidential field? Cant the nation do better?
Pignanelli: We find that people are happy to support older candidates in elections, but are less likely to approve of their performance in office. Jennifer Wolak, Damon Roberts, Political Behavior
History is repeating the preference for old shoes by voters nervous about potentially ill-fitting substitutes.
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Republican Voters On Their Preferred Candidate For President
If the Republican 2024 presidential primary were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were:
Asked of 350 respondents who said they planned to vote in the 2024 Republican primary in a New York Times/Siena College poll from July 5-7, 2022. Respondents who answered someone else or did not offer a response are not shown.
The greatest threat to usurp Mr. Trump within the party is Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida, who was the second choice with 25 percent and the only other contender with double-digit support. Among primary voters, Mr. DeSantis was the top choice of younger Republicans, those with a college degree and those who said they voted for President Biden in 2020.
While about one-fourth of Republicans said they didnt know enough to have an opinion about Mr. DeSantis, he was well-liked by those who did. Among those who voted for Mr. Trump in 2020, 44 percent said they had a very favorable opinion of Mr. DeSantis similar to the 46 percent who said the same about Mr. Trump.
Should Mr. DeSantis and Mr. Trump face off in a primary, the poll suggested that support from Fox News could prove crucial: Mr. Trump held a 62 percent to 26 percent advantage over Mr. DeSantis among Fox News viewers, while the gap between the two Floridians was 16 points closer among Republicans who mainly receive their news from another source.
Mr. Trumps troubles inside his party leave him hamstrung in a matchup against an unusually vulnerable incumbent.
What Would Joe Biden Bring In The Next Four Years Nine Of Cups
The Nine of Cups is a really positive card about dreams come true.
For many Americans, returning to a Democrat majority IS that dream come true.
Joe Biden has a vision, but its not where America is currently at, so change and transformation would be on the agenda. Big time.
He will not look to make incremental or periphery changes, but big, bold and lasting changes that restore what he thinks is his countrys rightful essence. He feels very emotional about his role and task ahead.
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United States Presidential Election2020 United States presidential election
|President before election
The 2020 United States presidential election was the 59th quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020. The Democratic ticket of former vice presidentJoe Biden and the junior U.S. senator from California Kamala Harris defeated the incumbent RepublicanpresidentDonald Trump and incumbent vice president Mike Pence. The election took place against the backdrop of the global COVID-19 pandemic and related recession. It was the first election since 1992, the first in the 21st century, and the fifth in the past century, in which the incumbent president failed to win a second term. The election saw the highest voter turnout by percentage since 1900, with each of the two main tickets receiving more than 74 million votes, surpassing Barack Obama‘s record of 69.5 million votes from 2008. Biden received more than 81 million votes, the most votes ever cast for a candidate in a U.S. presidential election.
America Is Not Ready For Trumps Second Term
And he could win, fair and square.
About the author: David A. Graham is a staff writer at The Atlantic.
The United States was unprepared for the scope of President Donald Trumps attempt to steal the 2020 presidential election. By Election Day, Trump had spent months calling the election rigged, and historians and democracy experts warned of the damage that these false claims could make. But when the president stepped to a lectern in the White House late on Election Night and insisted hed won, many Americans were taken aback. Much worse was still to come: Trump calling Georgias secretary of state, asking him to find 11,000 votes attempting to weaponize the Justice Department and instigating the failed January 6 insurrection.
Americans are ready now. If anything, theyre overprepared. Many members of the uneasy coalition of Democrats and former Republicans who oppose Trump are frantically focused on the danger of Trump and his GOP allies trying to steal the 2022 and especially 2024 elections. This is not without justification many of Trumps henchmen, meanwhile, are frantically focused on stealing it. But these watchdogs risk missing the graver danger: Trump could win this fair and square.
The possibility remains that they might try everything else and then opt for the wrong thing after all.
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How Could Legislation Help Trump Win In 2024
From just January to October 2021, 33 voter suppression laws were enacted across 19 states. Voter suppression efforts can look like enforcing stricter ID checks, making it harder to vote early or by mail, and restricting those convicted of felonies from voting.
Of such laws, Perry says, These, particularly, are thought to hurt the kinds of people who would tend to vote against Donald Trump. That would be minorities, people of color, people in poorer categories, and socioeconomic status.
Those communities turned out for Biden in unprecedented numbers during the 2020 election and were crucial to his victory. The passage of new voter suppression laws designed to disenfranchise these same communities, and Congresss failure to pass federal legislation protecting the right to vote, puts that support at risk.
Then theres the wave of election subversion bills. In 2021, lawmakers across the country introduced more than 180 bills that would shift election authority from the people to the legislators themselves. Says Perry, You have these new policies coming to the forefront among Republicans whereby the legislature would be allowed to review the popular will and be able to overturn it.
But the ramifications of this legislation extend beyond any one election cycle they stand to permanently diminish the voice of the people in U.S. democracy.
Biden Improved On Clintons Gains
Many Trump supporters have expressed disbelief that Biden won, and by such margins. But Bidens campaign won by persuading just enough swing voters, making gains in unexpected states and rebuilding the coveted blue wall that toppled in 2016.
According to CNNs national exit poll, 94% of self-described Democrats voted for Biden in 2020 compared to Hillary Clintons 89% of self-described Democrats in 2016, and 89% of self-described liberals, compared to Clintons 84%.
Bidens victory was really won on the basis of support from moderates and independents, though. He received 64% of votes cast by self-described moderates, 12 points ahead of Clinton, and won independents by 13 points a group that Clinton lost by 4 points.
Biden continued to build on the groundwork laid out by Clinton in historically red states like Arizona and Georgia. Clinton did not win Arizona or Georgia in 2016, but she did perform better than Obama in both. The swing toward Biden in those states was more than double his national swing, CNN reported.
Wasserman said he predicted prior to the election that Arizona and Georgia would flip, but the similar states of Texas and Florida would not due to their Hispanic electorate.
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