Wednesday, October 5, 2022

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Who Can Beat Trump Poll

Biden Says He Can Beat Trump Because An Nbc Poll Says So

Exit Polls: Most Democrats Want A Nominee Who âCan Beat Trumpâ | MTP Daily | MSNBC

– The divided Democrats running for their party’s presidential nomination were united on one thing Wednesday night — one of them must beat Donald Trump in November.

But they differed on the best way to do that.

Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg drew on his experience in running the nation’s largest city.

And then former Vice President Joe Biden weighed in, pointing to an NBC poll:

“In terms of who can beat Donald Trump, NBC did a poll yesterday,” Biden said.

Just before Biden spoke, Bloomberg told viewers, “I think we have two questions to face tonight.”

One is, who can beat Donald Trump? And number two, who can do the job if they get into the White House.

I would argue that I am the candidate that can do exactly both of those things. I’m a New Yorker, I know how to take on an arrogant conman like Donald Trump that comes from New York.

I’m a mayor, or was a mayor. I know how to run a complicated city, the biggest, most diverse city in this country. I’m a manager. I knew what to do after 9/11 and brought the city back stronger than ever.

And I’m a philanthropist who didn’t inherit his money but made his money. And I’m spending that money to get rid of Donald Trump, the worst president we have ever had. And if I can get that done, it will be a great contribution to America and to my kids.

And the other candidates make their case…

The Fake News And Their Pollsters Provide Good Fodder For Us And According To The Latest All But 5 Of The Democrats Can Beat President Trump

Apparently the media still thinks we give a sh*t about their opinions? Because as Ive said on my radio show many times, the Democrat who can beat Trump HASNT BEEN BORN!

Nevertheless, heres what The Daily Mail reported about the latest fake news polls:

Former Texas Representative Beto ORourke emerged in a new poll as the most likely to beat President Donald Trump if he were to win the Democratic nomination in 2020.

In a new CNN/SSRS poll released Thursday, 52 per cent of registered voters said they would vote for ORourke if he was running against Trump in the general elections.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Independent Senator Bernie Sanders came in a close second and third with 51 and 50 per cent, respectively.

Of the six Democratic candidates the surveyed polled about, five earned more per cent of respondents vote than Trump.

Fourty-seven per cent of registered voters said they would vote for Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren if she were up against Trump in 2020, and 48 per cent said they would vote for the incumbent president.

Of the 1,007 registered voters interviewed for the poll, 33 per cent described themselves as Democrats, 26 per cent are Republican and 41 per cent say they identify as independent or part of another political party.

Results of the pull have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.

Us Election 2020 Polls: Who Is Ahead

BBC News

Voters in America will decide on 3 November whether Donald Trump remains in the White House for another four years.

The Republican president is being challenged by Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden, who is best known as Barack Obama’s vice-president but has been in US politics since the 1970s.

As election day approaches, polling companies will be trying to gauge the mood of the nation by asking voters which candidate they prefer.

We’ll be keeping track of those polls here and trying to work out what they can and can’t tell us about who will win the election.

Also Check: What Is Trump Up To Now

Would Republican Attacks Knock The More Moderate Candidates Down To Sanderss Level

One concern about our findings is that Republicans who say they would vote for Biden or Buttigieg might not really do so in November, after the general election campaign has heated up. After months of sustained attacks from Trump and Republicans throughout the general election, would the more moderate candidates still be more electable than Sanders?

To examine this possibility, we first conducted an experiment to identify effective attacks against each of the Democratic candidates. For example, Bidens historical support for freezing Social Security benefits undermined his support, but hearing about Buttigiegs sexual orientation and the fact that he met his husband online did not decrease his support.

Then, to examine the resiliency of each Democrats support in the general election in the face of effective attacks, we showed some of our survey respondents the three attacks that were most effective against each Democrat before asking them who they would vote for in a contest between that Democrat and Trump.

After showing three attacks against each candidate, we find that Sanders would still need the same large youth turnout surge to overcome his deficit relative to the more moderate candidates against Trump. When we analyze the data using the same approach described above that disregards what voters say about whether they will vote, we find that, after being shown the attacks, Buttigieg, Bloomberg, and Biden still do better against Trump than Sanders does.

Why Dont We Know Which Democratic Candidate Can Beat Trump

Who Can Beat Trump in 2020? (Hint: Bernie)

We seem to know less than we did at the beginning of the primary.

Mr. Jentleson was a deputy chief of staff for Senator Harry Reid of Nevada.

The Democratic presidential primary is starting to feel less like a political contest and more like an existential experiment. In the era of big data and after a year of micro-analyzing every little twist and turn, we seem to know less than we did at the beginning. In an era when were supposed to know everything, we somehow seem to know nothing.

The frustration is compounded by the feeling that were not asking all that much. Most Democratic voters arent asking a lot of questions. Theyre just desperate to know the answer to a single, simple one: Who has the best chance of beating President Trump?

With more public polls than ever, more data scientists on the payrolls of major news organizations and a preponderance of poll-aggregating and analytical sites, it feels entirely reasonable to expect to know the answer by now.

Yet despite all the data and all the analysis, the universe appears dead set on defying our simple wish for an answer, and gleefully raising more questions instead. To the extent that we can put our finger on any reliable facts, many of them are slippery and two-sided.

Lets review what we know.

Read Also: Was Melania Trump Ever A Prostitute

Bernie Sanders Can Beat Trump Heres The Math

Most available evidence points in the direction of a popular vote and Electoral College victory.

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Mr. Phillips is the host of the podcast Democracy in Color With Steve Phillips.

Whatever you think about Bernie Sanders as a potential president, it is wrong to dismiss his chances of winning the office. Not only does most of the available empirical evidence show Mr. Sanders defeating President Trump in the national popular vote and in the critical Midwestern states that tipped the Electoral College in 2016, but his specific electoral strengths align with changes in the composition of the countrys population in ways that could actually make him a formidable foe for the president.

Almost all of the current polling data shows Mr. Sanders winning the national popular vote. In the most recent national polls testing Democratic candidates against Mr. Trump, Mr. Sanders beat him in every single one, with margins varying from 2 percent to 6 percent. This has been the case for nearly a year now, with Mr. Sanders outpolling the president in 67 of 72 head-to-head polls since March.

In addition to the polling data about how voters might act in the future, there is now the much more valuable information of actual voter behavior in the first three nominating contests, in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada. It is not just the fact that Mr. Sanders won the popular vote in all three states, it is how he won that portends hidden and underappreciated general election strength.

Only 1 In 4 Voters Firm About Choice

Bloomberg, Sanders, and Biden lead field

West Long Branch, NJ Mike Bloomberg, Bernie Sanders, and Joe Biden top the field in Virginia, one ofthe states that holds their Democratic presidential primary on Super Tuesday.The Monmouth UniversityPoll finds that most votersprioritize someone who can beat President Donald Trump and unite the country,but few seem to be firmly decided on who that candidate is. In hypotheticalhead-to-head contests between Sanders and four moderate contenders, the senatorfrom Vermont wins half the time and loses half the time.

AmongVirginia voters who are likely to participate in the Democratic primary onMarch 3, support currently stands at 22% for Bloomberg, 22% for Sanders, and18% for Biden. They are trailed by Pete Buttigieg , Amy Klobuchar ,and Elizabeth Warren . Another 11% of likely primary voters remainundecided and do not lean toward any candidate at this time.

Virginiaprovides an interesting test on Super Tuesday. A wide range of candidatesappeal to voters here and it is very much a jump ball at this point, said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth UniversityPolling Institute.

The pollasked voters how they would vote in a hypothetical two-person race pittingSanders against one of the more moderate candidates. In these scenarios,Sanders edges past both Klobuchar and Buttigieg butcomes out on the losing end against Bloomberg and by an even widermargin against Biden .

QUESTIONS AND RESULTS

METHODOLOGY

DEMOGRAPHICS

Don’t Miss: Why Is Donald Trump Such An Idiot

Who Has The Best Chance To Beat Trump

Reflecting recent polls, readers dont agree on a particular candidate.

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To the Editor:

The election is going to be won or lost depending on which party gets voters to show up to vote, and who sits at home.

For over 30 years, the moderate wing has controlled the Democratic Party sometimes successfully, too often not. Moderates have wasted valuable time and effort trying to negotiate with Republicans when Republicans see negotiation as a sign of weakness. Rather than leading with ideas, Democratic leaders check the latest polls before making a decision. Far too often they have run timid instead of standing up for what they believe.

Now we are faced with the most important election of our lives, and moderates are telling us how terrible it will be if we nominate a liberal. I dont agree with Bernie Sanders on a lot of issues and would much rather see Elizabeth Warren as the leader of the liberal wing of the party, but both have the passion and fight to stand up for what they believe.

If we want minorities and young people to show up on Election Day, I would trust either of them over Pete Buttigieg, Amy Klobuchar, Michael Bloomberg or Joe Biden.

I fear that a moderate candidate will lose to President Trump.

John HallinanStoughton, Wis.

To the Editor:

Tim Taylor

Re The Democrat Who Can Beat Trump, by Adam Jentleson :

Charles BeckerNovato, Calif.

To the Editor:

To the Editor:

Leslie Hodge

New Yahoo News/yougov Poll: Who Is Strongest Against Trump Must

New Poll: Democrats Want A Candidate Who Can Beat President Donald Trump | The Last Word | MSNBC

Is Bernie Sanders electable? Its a question thats been troubling many Democrats, who fear that despite his strong showings in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada, the self-described democratic socialist from Vermont would lose to President Trump in November.

A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll suggests that Sanders could be a riskier nominee than his supporters are willing to admit. In a national trial heat with Trump, Sanders led 48 percent to 42 percent among registered voters. Yet when the playing field was narrowed to the 10 states that were closest in the 2016 presidential election and that will likely decide 2020 Michigan, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Florida, Minnesota, Nevada, Maine, North Carolina and Arizona Sanderss lead over Trump was slashed in half . That 3-point gap was within the margin of error.

In contrast, former Vice President Joe Biden led Trump by 9 points nationally and by 7 points in the battleground states.

Both Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg performed about as well as Sanders in the battleground states. The weakest performer was former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg .

None of which is to say that Sanders cant beat Trump. But at this point, data suggests he might not be the Democrats safest bet.

Read more from Yahoo News:

Read Also: How Does Trump Rate As A President

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