Why The Gop Congress Will Stop Trump From Going Too Far
The coming resistance from Republican lawmakers who hate Trump, fear executive overreachor both.
This is a sneak preview of the upcoming January/February 2017 issue of the Washington Monthly.
Could it happen here? Could a democratically elected leader come to rule us as an autocrat? Citizens of a free society can never lose sight of this question, andhowever complacent many of us have becomethe election of Donald Trump has shoved it back out to center stage.
A dependence on the people is, no doubt, the primary control on the government, James Madison observed in The Federalist Papers, but experience has taught mankind the necessity of auxiliary precautions. These precautions are the separation of powers and checks and balances, enshrined in the Constitution. Citizens concerned about tyranny from the leaders they have elected must depend on the other branches of government to defend the republic.
In particular, the public must rely on Congress, the branch of government that Madison felt necessarily predominates, given its proximity to the people. Moreover, Article I of the Constitution vests in Congress all legislative Powers herein granted, as well as ample implied powers of oversight, and the power of impeachment should that become necessary. If a strongman government ever takes root in America, it will not be simply because we elected a president determined to establish it, but because Congress acquiesced in his designs.
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To Beat Trump Would Require A Candidate Who Could Unite A Coalition Of Never
Former President Donald Trump remains the favored candidate to win the Republican nomination in 2024 should he run, and hes confident its his if he wants it.
If I do run, I think that Ill do extremely well, Trump told Yahoo Finance in an interview earlier this month. Im not only looking at polls, Im looking at the enthusiasm.
Trump has come out ahead in recent polls of potential 2024 contenders, including a Politico-Morning Consult poll released Oct. 13 that found 47% of Republican voters would vote for Trump if the primary was held today. That put Trump far ahead of his nearest competitors, former Vice President Mike Pence, at 13%, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, at 12%. Trump said hes not concerned about any potential challengers.
I think most people would drop out, I think would drop out, and if I faced him Id beat him like Id beat everyone else, frankly, Trump said.
Some polls this year have found a significant segment of Republican voters want someone else as their nominee in 2024, though. A poll earlier this year by Trumps 2020 pollster Fabrizio and Lee found about half of all Republicans would prefer a different nominee, while a Pew Research survey released earlier this month found 52% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents want someone new.
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But there is also one thing they are avoiding: Nearly all of the prospective candidates have declined to say whether they will challenge Trump directly should he decide to run.
Like most political professionals, they are waiting to see what happens.
“I don’t know that he’s going to run,” former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie told CNN. “I don’t know whether I’m going to run.”
The list of possible non-Trump candidates includes former aides and advisers a sprinkling of GOP governors , and some Republican senators .
All would be underdogs to Trump, who leads early Republican polling ahead of 2024.
“You get a lot of people who want Trump to run again,” said Sarah Longwell, an anti-Trump Republican strategist who is conducting a series of focus groups of GOP voters. “If Trump runs, he freezes the field for most of these candidates, and they don’t run.”
And how many candidates will there be if Trump doesn’t run?
“So many,” Longwell said. “A wide open field.”
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Disqualified From The The Gop Primary Ballot:
Donna Brandenburg: A Byron Center businesswoman, Brandenburg has founded multiple companies and is the CEO of Brandenburg Capital Management, an acquisition and management firm.
She has called election security one of her top priorities, advocates for a “forensic audit” of the 2020 election and boasts an endorsement from Michael Flynn, former national security adviser under former President Donald Trump. Since she was disqualified from the Republican ballot, she announced she is now running for governor on the U.S. Taxpayers Party ticket.
Michael Brown: Brown is a former Berrien County commissioner and longtime law enforcement officer who is currently a captain with the Michigan State Police.
Brown says his professional background positions him to fix what he calls a crisis of leadership by “failed elites” in Lansing. He’s decried what he calls a full-on assault against the law enforcement profession” while criticizing Whitmers pandemic policies.
James Craig: Craig is a longtime law enforcement official who recently retired as chief of police in Detroit, where he’s touted his work to keep the peace during racial justice protests in 2020.
Reasons Democrats Must Never Vote In A Republican Primary
The opinions expressed in this article are solely the pervue of Mr. Daniel Cohen. His statements do not necessarily reflects the tenets of Indivisible Houston. Daniel is execising his first amendment right as an independent citizen.
Over the last year, I have gone from a voter who occasionally engages others in civic conversation over political issues to a Democratic Party Precinct Chair who organizes weekly to beat back the creeping wave of authoritarian conservatism at the local, state, and national levels. During that time, I have noticed a trend in conversations within activist circles. First, an idea is presented and people recommend we all do something about it. Then, people stop talking about the idea and start acting on it. Finally, it becomes ingrained as a strategy for the activist community.
The most recent idea that stands out to me as a focal point of discussion is the dilemma surrounding Harris County primaries. Namely, the question is whether or not to vote strategically in the Republican Primary as opposed to the Democratic Primary in order to move the Republican Party into a more moderate position.
My plea to fellow progressive Democrats: DONT.
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The Republican Running Against Donald Trump Took His Message To The Iowa State Fair Few Listened
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Sen Mitt Romney Of Utah
A Gallup poll last March found Romney, 74, has a higher approval rating among Democrats than Republicans, so you might figure he doesnt have a prayer in taking his partys nomination again. A February Morning Consult poll, though, had Romney polling ahead of Republicans like Pompeo, Cotton and Hawley. So, youre telling me theres a chance? Yes, a one-in-a-million chance.
The 2012 GOP presidential nominee and his wife, Ann, have five sons. He graduated from Brigham Young University and Harvard Law. Romney is a former Massachusetts governor, and the first person to be a governor and senator from two different states since Sam Houston, who was governor of Tennessee and a senator from Texas. Romney is this years JFK Profile in Courage Award recipient.
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Raphael Warnock: I Cant Wait To Get To Work After Winning Georgia Runoff
But the fate of the larger progressive legislative agenda remains very much in doubt, given the Senates filibuster rule and the narrow size of Democrats majority.
If we have a Senate that is divided 50-50, that makes it very hard to do some of the things you just suggested like recognizing Puerto Rico as a state, Sen. Chris Coons, D-Del., a close Biden ally, said on CNBC.
Schumer will face immense pressure from the left flank of his caucus to reform or eliminate the filibuster, but opposition from moderates like Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.V., has made it clear that that idea is basically dead on arrival.
With the filibuster in place, Republicans can block most legislation , imperiling many Biden priorities, from immigration reform to statehood for the District of Columbia.
The only viable path to enacting D.C. statehood is bypassing the filibuster a Jim Crow relic that has been used to block hundreds of racial justice bills, said DC statehood activist Stasha Rhodes.
There is one major exception to the filibuster rule for budget bills, which can through a process known as reconciliation that only a requires a simple majority, and Democrats are discussing ways to take full advantage of that rule or expand it.
The split chamber will put Harris in an unusual position as she is expected to take a more active role as president of the Senate, which is typically a mostly ceremonial role.
Ossoff will get to serve a full six-year term.
Democrats Sweat Turnout Disaster In California Without Trump To Run Against
Without Trump on the ballot, California Democrats are trying to motivate voters.
In a heavily Democratic state where Gov. Gavin Newsom beat his Republican opponent in 2018 by 3 million votes, the recall stands within a few percentage points of passing next month. | Jeff Chiu/AP Photo
08/26/2021 02:34 PM EDT
LOS ANGELES Donald Trump could swing the California governorship to a Republican. Merely by his absence.
Democrats turned out in record numbers when they had Trump to vote against. But in one of the first, large-scale tests of voter enthusiasm for Democrats in the post-Trump era, Californias surprisingly close gubernatorial recall election is laying bare just how hard it may be for the party to motivate its base without Trump as a foil.
Even in this bastion of progressive politics, ominous signs for the Democratic Party are everywhere. A CBS News-YouGov poll last week found voters who cast ballots for Joe Biden were less likely than Trump supporters to be very closely following the recall and less motivated to vote. In a Berkeley-IGS survey, registered Democrats and independent voters were nearly 30 percentage points less likely than Republicans to express a high level of interest in voting in the election.
Can Democrats win without having Trump as their foil? This is the challenge, said Gray Davis, the former California governor who was recalled in 2003.
Were going to find out pretty soon,â he said in an interview.
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Pointing Out He Already Lost
Michael DuHaime, CEO of MAD Global Strategy who was a strategist for Christie’s 2016 presidential campaign, said the biggest argument is that Trump lost to Biden before.
“We don’t need a guy who already lost to Joe Biden to run against him again,” DuHaime said. “He proved he can’t beat Biden. If he wants to soothe his soul by lying to everyone and saying he really won, he can, but the reality is he lost. Joe Biden is president now. Republicans have a chance to take back the White House. They can’t risk running someone who already lost to Biden.”
Who Are The Three Republicans Running Against Trump
First place by first-instance vote
Presidential primaries and caucuses of the Republican Party took place in many U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories from February 3 to August 11, 2020, to elect most of the 2,550 delegates to send to the Republican National Convention. Delegates to the national convention in other states were elected by the respective state party organizations. The delegates to the national convention voted on the first ballot to select Donald Trump as the Republican Partys presidential nominee for president of the United States in the 2020 election, and selected Mike Pence as the vice-presidential nominee.
President Donald Trump informally launched his bid for reelection on February 18, 2017. He launched his reelection campaign earlier in his presidency than any of his predecessors did. He was followed by former governor of MassachusettsBill Weld, who announced his campaign on April 15, 2019, and former Illinois congressmanJoe Walsh, who declared his candidacy on August 25, 2019. Former governor of South Carolina and U.S. representative launched a primary challenge on September 8, 2019. In addition, businessman Rocky De La Fuente entered the race on May 16, 2019, but was not widely recognized as a major candidate.
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Former Vice President Mike Pence
The former vice president traveled to Iowa often while he was in office to tout the Trump administration’s policy agenda. He made his first return since losing the 2020 general election in July 2021 when he attended the Family Leadership Summit, a gathering of Christian conservatives and evangelicals.
Are There Any Prominent Democrats Running
There are nine registered Democrats on the ballot but none well known to the public. Newsom and his allies were successful in keeping prominent Democrats out of the race, allowing them to present a united Democratic front and to continue painting the recall as a GOP power grab to accomplish through a special election what it cant through a regular campaign. That also avoids a repeat of the 2003 recall, when Davis allies believe Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamantes decision to run as an insurance option in case the recall was successful cost the governor Democratic votes.
Among the Democrats who decided not to run is former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa.
I respect the fact the recall qualified. I also recognize that many people disagree with the governor and some of his decisions including me but Californias facing incredible challenges and the governor deserves a chance to finish the job, Villaraigosa said. Thats why I oppose the recall and support Gov. Newsom in this matter.
No prominent Democrat has stepped up as a potential Newsom alternative. Experts say the party should have a backup for a worst-case scenario but doing so may hurt Newsom.
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Mixed Results In Wisconsin
Mr. Trumps preferred candidate, Tim Michels, won his primary for governor, defeating former Lt. Gov. Rebecca Kleefisch.
But Robin Vos, the powerful speaker of the Wisconsin Assembly, fended off a challenge barely from Adam Steen, a Trump endorsee who had called for eliminating most absentee and early voting in the state and for decertifying the 2020 election.
Us Election 202: Who Are The Likely Republican Candidates To Run For President Against Joe Biden
Mike Pence, Ivanka Trump and Ted Cruz are among the rumoured candidates to become Donald Trumps successor
The 2020 presidential race has only just finished, but the Republican candidates for 2024 are already preparing themselves for their shot at the White House.
We take a look at who may be looking to get themselves in to the race.
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He Had A Trump Change Of Heart
A noted critic of onetime Trump rival Hillary Clinton, Walsh, who served a term in Congress before he was defeated in 2012, was all-in on Trump ahead of the 2016 election, even tweeting: If Trump loses, Im grabbing my musket. You in?
But since Trump took office, Walsh has soured on the president, frequently using his Twitter account to call him out for his lies.
Weve got a guy in the White House whos unfit, completely unfit, to be president, and it stuns me that nobody stepped up, nobody in the Republican party, Walsh said on This Week. The country is sick of this guys tantrum. Hes a child.
Despite trying to draw a line between himself and Trump, Walsh admitted to Stephanopoulos joining in on the divisive rhetoric that has become a signature Trump strategy. Like Trump, Walsh made racist comments about then-President Barack Obama, questioning his birthplace.
I helped create Trump. And George, thats not an easy thing to say. Look, we were divided before Trump, Walsh said. There were plenty of times where I went beyond the policy and the idea differences, and I got personal and I got hateful. I said some ugly things about President Obama that I regret. And its difficult, but I think I think that helped create Trump. And I feel responsible for that.
Academics Journalists Authors Commentators
- Reuel Marc Gerecht, writer
- Michael Gerson, columnist and speechwriter for George W. Bush
- Peter Mansoor, military historian
- Meghan McCain, commentator, daughter of Senator John McCain
- Charles Murray, political scientist and commentator
- Ana Navarro, strategist and commentator
- Tom Nichols, national security affairs scholar
- , co-founder of Netscape founder of Andreessen Horowitz
- Mike Fernandez, founder of MBF Healthcare Partners
- James Murren, Chairman and CEO of MGM Resorts International
- William Oberndorf, Chairman of Oberndorf Enterprises
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