Can Anyone Beat Trump In 2024
A recent Politico-Morning Consult poll found that Trump is still ahead of all other candidates for the 2024 race, which hasnt even started yet. Trump beats competitors such as former Vice President Mike Pence and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in that poll.
Similarly, recent Quinnipiac University poll shows among Republicans, 78% would like to see Trump run again for office.
Favorable Views Of The Us Have Rebounded
In every place surveyed except New Zealand, around half or more have a favorable opinion of the U.S. Ratings are highest in South Korea, where 77% have positive views of the U.S., and around two-thirds or more in Japan, France and the UK say the same.
These broadly positive views reflect a sharp uptick since last summer, when ratings of the U.S. were at or near historic lows in most countries. For example, in Belgium, where only a quarter had favorable views of the U.S. last year, a 56% majority say the same today.
In France, the UK and Germany, positive views have increased even since this past November and December. Surveys in these three countries found tepid views of the U.S. last December after major media outlets had called the election for now-President Joe Biden but before his inauguration and the violent storming of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6 by a mob of Trumps supporters. Evaluations ranged from 40% favorable in Germany to 51% in the UK. Today, positive views have increased by double digits in all three countries, with around six-in-ten or more in each of these countries now saying they view the U.S. favorably.
Why Would Trump Actually Want To Be Speaker
At first glance, being speaker might have a lot of appeal.
“You know, he might think that this is going to be fun and he can kind of drive Joe Biden crazy,” said Republican strategist John Feehery, who was once press secretary to House Speaker Dennis Hastert.
Trump could be the automatic foil to President Biden, commanding media attention 24/7.
And then there’s the appeal of State of the Union night, when he would get to stand behind Biden, just like the current House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., stood behind Trump when he was president.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and then-Vice President Mike Pence appear behind President Donald Trump at the 2019 State of the Union address, a perch Trump could enjoy behind President Biden if he somehow became speaker.hide caption
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and then-Vice President Mike Pence appear behind President Donald Trump at the 2019 State of the Union address, a perch Trump could enjoy behind President Biden if he somehow became speaker.
It’s a mass media performance opportunity Trump would revel in. And as some of his supporters like Root have suggested, the speakership would be the perfect place for Trump to take political revenge from.
“You become the speaker of the House, lead the impeachment of Biden and start criminal investigations against Biden,” Root told Trump. “You’ll wipe them out for his last two years, and then you’ll be president. Do it!”
“You can’t avoid the responsibilities, no,” Feehery said.
Read Also: What Did Trump Do To Get Impeached
Most Say That The Us Is A Somewhat Reliable Partner
Across the 16 publics surveyed, majorities or pluralities say the U.S. is a somewhat reliable partner. But in no public surveyed do more than two-in-ten say that the U.S. is a very reliable partner.
At the same time, fewer than four-in ten say the U.S. is a not too reliable partner, and in no public do more than one-in-seven say that the U.S. is a not at all reliable partner.
The sentiment that the U.S. is a very or somewhat reliable partner is highest in the Netherlands , Australia and Japan . But 44% in Taiwan and 43% in Greece say the U.S. is not too or not at all reliable.
Understand The Claim Of Executive Privilege In The Jan 6 Inquiry
A key issue yet untested.Donald Trumps power as former president to keep information from his White House secret has become a central issue in the Houses investigation of the Jan. 6 Capitol riot. Amid an attempt by Mr. Trump to keep personal records secret and the indictment of Stephen K. Bannon for contempt of Congress, heres a breakdown of executive privilege:
What is executive privilege?It is a power claimed by presidents under the Constitution to prevent the other two branches of government from gaining access to certain internal executive branch information, especially confidential communications involving the president or among his top aides.
What is Trumps claim?Former President Trump has filed a lawsuit seeking to block the disclosure of White House files related to his actions and communications surrounding the Jan. 6 Capitol riot. He argues that these matters must remain a secret as a matter of executive privilege.
Is Trumps privilege claim valid?The constitutional line between a presidents secrecy powers and Congresss investigative authority is hazy. Though a judge rejected Mr. Trumps bid to keep his papers secret, it is likely that the case will ultimately be resolved by the Supreme Court.
Is executive privilege an absolute power?No. Even a legitimate claim of executive privilege may not always prevail in court. During the Watergate scandal in 1974, the Supreme Court upheld an order requiring President Richard M. Nixon to turn over his Oval Office tapes.
Also Check: Was Melania Trump Ever A Prostitute
The Trump Mental Health Crisis
Now, what about 2021?
Back on November 9th, 2020 you may have read this on my website here:
Here in the American chart on this page, you can see Panacea in Virgo in the Sixth House, which rules public health. Neptune is at 24 Virgo and Panacea is at 19 Virgo. My concern is the trine from Neptune at 24 Virgo to Fortuna at 24 Capricorn in the Tenth House, which rules the President of the United States and the First Lady. That is exact.
Deadline January 25th, 2021
Those psychic predictions for Trump in 2021 also use astrology. I continued, in that forecast, on this website, giving specific dates:
Lets time the crisis in American mental health at the top, with a view to increasing awareness of the issues, to minimise the potential problems.
The transit of Pluto at 24 Capricorn between Sunday 27th December 2020 and Monday 25th January 2021 will trigger Fortuna at 24 Capricorn and Neptune at 24 Virgo.
Donald and Melania Trump
Between 27th December 2020 and 25th January 2021, President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump will be at the heart of deep, new, serious questions about the state of the nations mental health, no matter if the issue is depression, bipolar disorder, anxiety or memory loss.
We have all been so concerned about the virus, havent we, but the mutable weather tells us, this is about the mind.
CNN Trump Unhinged
The Mob at the Capitol
This was the result on October 19th, 2020.
Reader Aids : : Insight Into The Fr Ecosystem
This site displays a prototype of a Web 2.0 version of the daily Federal Register. It is not an official legal edition of the Federal Register, and does not replace the official print version or the official electronic version on GPOs govinfo.gov.
The documents posted on this site are XML renditions of published Federal Register documents. Each document posted on the site includes a link to the corresponding official PDF file on govinfo.gov. This prototype edition of the daily Federal Register on FederalRegister.gov will remain an unofficial informational resource until the Administrative Committee of the Federal Register issues a regulation granting it official legal status. For complete information about, and access to, our official publications and services, go to About the Federal Register on NARA’s archives.gov.
Don’t Miss: Is President Trump’s Approval Rating
Spotlight: How Views Of The Us Vary With Political Ideology And Age
In many of the publics surveyed, ideological orientation plays a role in how people view the U.S. and American democracy.
- People who place themselves on the right of the political spectrum are more likely to have a positive view of the U.S. in nearly every country where ideology is measured. And this general pattern has not changed much over time, with those on the right holding a more favorable view of the U.S. during the Trump and Obama administrations as well.
- In 11 countries, people on the right are more likely than those on the left to say democracy in the U.S. is a good example for other countries to follow. And in a similar set of countries, they are also more likely to think the U.S. political system works well.
- Overall, majorities on the left, center and right of the political spectrum approve of the policies included in the survey. However, Bidens decision to allow more refugees into the U.S. is decidedly more popular among people on the left. In about half the countries, those on the left are also more likely to approve of the U.S. rejoining the World Health Organization.
In general, favorable views of the U.S. do not vary based on age in Europe or the Asia-Pacific region. But age is a factor when it comes to confidence in the U.S. president and other world leaders.
Presidential Campaign And 2011 Hints At Presidential Run
In 2000, Trump ran in the California and Michigan primaries for nomination as the Reform Party candidate for the 2000 United States presidential election but withdrew from the race in February 2000. A July 1999 poll matching him against likely Republican nominee George W. Bush and likely Democratic nominee Al Gore showed Trump with seven percent support.
In 2011, Trump speculated about running against President Barack Obama in the 2012 election, making his first speaking appearance at the Conservative Political Action Conference in February 2011 and giving speeches in early primary states. In May 2011, he announced he would not run, and he endorsed Mitt Romney in February 2012. Trump’s presidential ambitions were generally not taken seriously at the time.
Read Also: Does Anyone Think Trump Is Doing A Good Job
We Underestimated Trump Before It Didnt Go Well
Sometimes, and much to our detriment, we find real events are simply too outlandish to take seriously.
Many professional Republicans, for example, initially dismissed the movement to Stop the Steal as a ridiculous stunt.
What is the downside for humoring him for this little bit of time? No one seriously thinks the results will change, an anonymous senior Republican official told The Washington Post a few days after Joe Biden claimed victory:
He went golfing this weekend. Its not like hes plotting how to prevent Joe Biden from taking power on Jan. 20. Hes tweeting about filing some lawsuits, those lawsuits will fail, then hell tweet some more about how the election was stolen, and then hell leave.
Republicans went ahead and humored the president, who then urged his followers to assault the Capitol and try to void the election results in his favor.
Now, 10 months after the election, Stop the Steal is something like party orthodoxy, ideological fuel for a national effort to seize control of election administration and to purge those officials who secured the vote over Donald Trumps demand to subvert it. Assuming that he is in good health, Trump will almost certainly run for president in 2024, and if he does, hell do so in a Republican Party pacified of any resistance to his will to power.
In short, there was no way the slaveholding South could sustain itself on its own.
Follow The New York Times Opinion section on , and .
Potential Conflicts Of Interest
Trump’s presidency has been marked by significant public concern about conflict of interest stemming from his diverse business ventures. In the lead up to his inauguration, Trump promised to remove himself from the day-to-day operations of his businesses. Trump placed his sons Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. at the head of his businesses claiming they would not communicate with him regarding his interests. However, critics noted that this would not prevent him from having input into his businesses and knowing how to benefit himself, and Trump continued to receive quarterly updates on his businesses. As his presidency progressed, he failed to take steps or show interest in further distancing himself from his business interests resulting in numerous potential conflicts. Ethics experts found Trump’s plan to address conflicts of interest between his position as president and his private business interests to be entirely inadequate. Unlike every other president in the last 40 years, Trump did not put his business interests in a blind trust or equivalent arrangement “to cleanly sever himself from his business interests”. In January 2018, a year into his presidency, Trump owned stakes in hundreds of businesses.
Recommended Reading: When Will Trump Speak Next
Most Voters Reject Far
72% of voters, including 61% of Republicans, say it is unlikely Trump will be restored to the presidency.
77% of voters said they believe Americas democracy is currently being threatened, including 82% of Republicans and 77% of Democrats.
Only 40% of Republicans said they had at least some confidence in the U.S. electoral system.
Those close to Donald Trump have sought to publicly downplay a report that the former president thinks he will be reinstated in the Oval Office later this year, but a sizable minority of Republican voters believe it will happen anyway.
According to a new Morning Consult/Politico survey, 29 percent of Republican voters said it is at least somewhat likely that Trump will be restored as president in 2021 including 17 percent who said it is very likely.
The June 4-7 poll was conducted among 1,990 registered voters, with a margin of error of 2 percentage points. For the first time in a Morning Consult/Politico poll, the responses were weighted on 2020 presidential vote in addition to the typical weighting variables of age, gender, race and ethnicity, educational attainment and region.
While the idea of Trumps reinstatement is far-fetched at best, the electoral and political impact of Trumps repeated attacks on the 2020 outcome is very real, polling data suggests.
Historical Evaluations And Public Opinion
C-SPAN‘s 2021 President Historians Survey ranked Trump as the fourth-worst president overall, with Trump being rated the worst in the leadership characteristics of Moral Authority and Administrative Skills. Trump’s best rated leadership characteristic was Public Persuasion, where he ranked 32nd out of the 44 individuals who were previously president.