What If Trump Wins
For many people, the prospect of what might happen if Donald Trump wins a second term is too awful to contemplate. But, as we are witnessing with the coronavirus, not contemplating scenarios that have at least some chance of happening is a grave mistake. Indeed, its a mistake that helped elect Trump in the first place.
Ideally, the press corps would be hard at work exploring this question. Alas, it is not. In the thousands of presidential campaign stories that have been published this year, you will be hard pressed to find much reporting or informed speculation about what policies Trump might pursue if hes reelected, or what the consequences might be if he were successful in enacting them. Thats not because such things arent knowable in advance. If that were the problem, political reporters wouldnt have spent the last six months gaming out which candidates were, say, likely to win which primaries. The real reason campaign journalists dont do this kind of work is that its not what theyre trained to doand, perhaps, its not what most people want to read.
Trump To Win Presidency In : Plausible Or Not So Much
The findings of the study serve as not only a post-election analysis of how President Donald Trump secured election last year, but also as a signal to Democrats that Trumps electoral fate in 2020 may depend on the Republican Presidents approach to the U.S. military and the human costs of war overseas.
Although courts continue to strike down some of Trumps most controversial executive orders, there is something that drew bi-partisan support for this administration. Dropping the mother of all bombs in Afghanistan drew both criticism and praises from Americans, but America needs to see more actions by this administration to make up their mind whether or not they could re-elect the Republican candidate in 2020.
Those chances seem vague at this point, judging by Trumps not-so-high approval rating, but it is Trumps approach to the human costs of war that could drew support of Americans again.
Opinion: This Is How Donald Trump Becomes President Again
Ever since Donald Trump lost the 2020 election, Ive been among those who believed he would never run for president again. Hed keep the option open for as long as possible to get attention and keep other Republicans genuflecting to him, but he wouldnt go through with it. It would just be too much trouble at his age , and the idea of losing yet again would be too frightening.
But the events of the last few months have increased the likelihood that Trump could survey the landscape and decide that he could waltz right back into the White House if he wanted.
Not because hed get more Americans to vote for him barring some kind of unforeseen catastrophe, its difficult to see that happening. But because his party has so aggressively worked to twist and corrupt the U.S. electoral system, he could clearly lose both the popular and electoral votes and still become president again.
Its too early to say how likely this is, but heres how it could go down.
Step one: Trump decides to run, and obliterates the primary field.
While many Republicans are considering a presidential bid, some of whom are savvy operators, there isnt one who looks remotely like they could defeat Trump in a presidential primary.
Step two: Republican voter suppression measures have an impact.
Step three: GOP state legislatures step in.
Step four: Republicans in the House of Representatives take control.
Don’t Miss: Why Does Trump Lie So Much
The Reasons Donald Trump Will Not Be Re
I call the 2020 presidential race. It goes to the Democratic Party, the nominee of which is yet to be determined. This is not a joke and I am not psychic but the prediction stays.
This is not a wish!
Trumpublicans, the Honeymoon Is Almost Over! The bar has been set so low , still Donald Trump has great difficulty to clear it. Its beginning to sink in for millions who voted him in office that no matter how much time Mr. Trump is allotted, he will continue to demand that the bar is set even lower.
Remark: This early declaration of a winner is based EXCLUSIVELY on the premise that Donald Trump will again be the Republican nominee
Note: This is part one of a multi-part article which looks into the rationale why we have come to the conclusion that the path for Donald Trumps re-election is not just narrow or shrinking but it has already closed, despite belief to the contrary, despite hope in the Trumps camp it might happen and despite polls showing his approval rating has not budged much, if at all. Here, at the People Branch, we are fairly confident our analysis is right on point.
After listening to every possible argument from both Democrats and Republicans for and against the possibility of a Trumps second term, we at The People Branch have done what was necessary to come to the most plausible conclusion: Donald Trump WILL NOT BE RE-ELECTED. We turned off all the noises, muted all the pundits and watched them side by side, punditing. It was quite an experience.
An Unplanned Failure: The Simple Reason Trumps Reelection Chances Are Fading
With election day a little over a week away, President Trump is trailing his rival and Democratic challenger, Joe Biden, who is ahead in the national polls and in several key battleground states. While it is very possible Trump may still win the unprecedented election, many pollsters and pundits see a Biden victory as more likely. The reason isnt necessarily because of Trumps politics, its because of his plans.
Or lack of them.
As a President who is fond of long rallies and short tweets, for five years Trumps leadership style allowed him to galvanize a base of voters who are attracted to his nationalist focus and no-holds-barred campaign style. But the long and short of it is that while Trumps chaotic and disorganized approach to governing may be what thrills his supporters and frustrates his critics, it is also the reason why Trump fails at the essence of successful political leadership, or any leadership for that matter:
Planning your work, and working your plan.
President Trump during the final presidential debate. Trump is trailing his rival Joe Biden in … national polls as well as in several battleground states.
With less than ten days to go before the election, Trump still hasnt delivered it.
Also Check: How Does Trump Rate As A President
President Trump Has Been Re
I dont know what you have to do right now to get to that place of resolution, but I strongly encourage every patriotic American that understands whats on the line right now to get there. Turn off the media and learn to evaluate current events from a point of research and study, instead of spoon fed propaganda.
President Trump won the 2020 election and will be inaugurated January 20, 2021 just as he should be.
Everything between now and then will be uncomfortable if youre basing your understanding on the lies the media is peddling.
Nothing that has occurred from November 3 presently should have caught the Trump administration, and/or patriots who have been following the intel, and/or authentic Christians by surprise. President Trump has been plain about what he foresaw coming, intel has corroborated it in no less than a dozen ways, and God has been warning His people of the coming days through various mouthpieces.
Yes, there is extensive voter fraud, and yes it is primarily in the swing states. But yes, the Trump administration has already handled it. What we have going on now is the parts playing out.
Sidney Powell, the named future FBI Director, has announced they have evidence such was used. She was on Fox News with Lou Dobbs , and you can watch that interview here.
At the 42 minute mark of that same video, he explains what ghost voters , phantom voters , and purged and tampered votes are .
And one more thing.
What The Numbers Say About Trump’s Chances At Reelection
With nine weeks until the 2020 presidential election, several factors are unfolding that will likely determine whether President TrumpDonald TrumpGraham opposes short-term debt hike, warns against being ‘held hostage’ to filibuster44 percent of Republicans want Trump to run again in 2024: surveyMORE will be reelected. One major factor is how the electorate has changed since 2016.
First, consider that the share of voters supporting third-party candidates is much smaller in 2020 than it was in 2016. In 2020, former Vice President Joe BidenGary Earl JohnsonBiden broadened Democratic base, cut into Trump coalition: studyNew Mexico lawmakers send recreational marijuana bills to governorJudge throws out murder convictions, releases men jailed for 24 yearsMORE in 2016. One survey shows that 47 percent of Stein and Johnson supporters will vote for Biden, while 20 percent plan to vote for Trump or support another third-party candidate in 2020. If that lead for Biden holds, Trump could lose in November.
If Biden can maintain his advantage among Stein and Johnson voters in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, then those states will return to the Democratic column in 2020 and Biden will be elected president. However, it is difficult to predict how third-party voters will break in 2020 and who they will break for in these three states. At least we know why the Trump campaign is actively supporting Kanye West for president.
You May Like: Will Trump Be Reelected In 2020
Why Trumps Path To Reelection Is Totally Plausible
As impulsive and erratic as the president may be, his campaign is relying on the same advantages that helped reelect George W. Bush and Barack Obama.
President Donald Trumps campaign will be focusing on a small number of crucial states. | Evan Vucci/AP Photo
12/16/2019 05:03 AM EST
If President Donald Trump wins reelection in 2020, there will not be lots of people unlike in 2016 gasping with surprise at the outcome. But there are plenty of people who remain utterly bewildered by the prospect.
How after everything abysmal polls, the 2018 midterm debacle, this weeks impeachment is a second term even a possibility? The belief that the usual rules of politics simply do not apply to this president whether because of political dark arts or some kind of cosmic destiny is one of the only things that unites Trump loathers and Trump loyalists.
But there is no need to look for mystical explanations. There is a path to reelection for a president who never cracks 50 percent approval in polls that is entirely plausible. It’s not because the normal dynamics of politics do not apply to Trump, but because they do.
In recent days, the three of us have been making the rounds with White House and campaign officials, as well as senior Republicans aligned with them, asking a simple question: If Trump ends up celebrating the 2020 holidays with a second term in hand, how did it happen?
Democrats And Republicans Fighting For Military Support In Us
Despite 43rd President George W. Bush securing re-election in 2004, he kept losing electorate support in states and communities that had seen the highest numbers of coffins of dead American soldiers returning home. Less than two years later, the Bush administration got punished for the ever-increasing casualty rate in Iraq by electorate voters in 2006s midterm election, where Democrats secured a majority in both chambers of Congress for the first time since the 1994 Republican Revolution.
As panic gripped America over the deadly war in the Middle East, by 2008, electorate voters made up their mind about their next president and got Democrat Barack Obama to power. Many analysts name Obama and his opponent Republican John McCains completely opposite views on the Iraq War as one of key factors that helped Obama win the support of 52.9% Americans.
Obama had been a vocal critic of war in the Middle East and vowed to put an end to the deadly conflict, while his opponent McCain had been vehemently pushing the U.S. to stay involved in the Middle East conflicts until victory.
Don’t Miss: Why Did Trump Leave The Paris Climate Agreement