Donald Trump’s Approval Ratings Flounders Amid Jan 6 Revelations
Donald Trump has faced a dip in his popularity according to a Fox News poll taken after the first January 6 hearing.
The opinion poll was conducted between June 10 and June 13, according to a Fox News report. This is days after the first January 6 hearing that was held on June 9.
The poll, which also highlighted that President Joe Biden has seen his popularity fall, showed the fluctuation in the former president’s popularity.
According to the poll, 55 percent of registered voters asked have an unfavorable opinion of Trump, compared to 44 percent holding a favorable opinion.
The poll also highlighted data taken from previous polls of the former president.
In February, 54 percent of registered voters held an unfavorable opinion of Trump, this is compared to 45 percent favorable. In December 2021, Trump received the same percentage of favorable and unfavorable votes.
According to the poll, the last time Trump held such a small favorable opinion vote of 44 percent was in late October 2020. In this poll, 55 percent of participants held an unfavorable opinion of him.
In June 2018, 45 percent of Fox News poll participants held a favorable opinion of Trump while 53 percent held an unfavorable opinion.
Newsweek has contacted Donald Trump‘s office for comment.
The first January 6 hearing, which was televised during prime time, was able to focus on Trump and his role, if any, in the January 6 Capitol riot.
Two Different Paths To 41%
President Biden and former president Trump dont have a lot in common. But, they share the inauspicious distinction of having the lowest approval ratings in modern history for a president 500 days into his first term. The fivethirtyeight.com tracker has Bidens net approval rating at a dismal -13.3, two points lower than Trumps -11 in June of 2018.
But, the paths they took to these dismal ratings are very different.
Trump began his presidency with little support from independents and some skepticism among his own base. By the 2018 midterm election, Trump had consolidated his base, but remained deeply unpopular with independent voters. Meanwhile, Biden started his tenure with strong support from his partisans and decent approval ratings among independent voters. But, Biden lost altitude with both in the late summer/early fall of last year and has yet to regain that support.
The question now is whether the different routes their subpar approval ratings can tell us anything about the likely outcome of the November midterm.
However, opinions of Trump among independents started low and remained low throughout Trumps first two years in office. Gallup polling from the spring of 2017 found Trumps job approval ratings among independents at an anemic 36 percent. By the summer of 2018 they stayed in that same range . By October, just 38 percent of independents approved of the job Trump was doing in office.
The Claim: President Joe Bidens Approval Rating Is 39% And Lower Than Donald Trumps Ever Was
Text in reads, “Joe Biden’s approval falls to 39 percent, worse than Trump’s approval ever.” The post did not indicate which poll it’s referring to.
A similar post accumulated 46,000 likes in six days before it was deleted. Other claims in this vein have racked up hundreds of interactions on Facebook and Instagram, according to CrowdTangle, a social media insights tool.
The claim is misleading. While one poll did put Bidens approval rating at 39%, the polling average a more accurate measure of a president’s popularity put it higher. Experts say Biden’s approval rating, the lowest since he took office, is still higher than Trumps term low.
USA TODAY reached out to several social media users who shared the claim for comment.
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Understand The 2022 Midterm Elections
Why are these midterms so important?This years races could tip the balance of power in Congress to Republicans, hobbling President Bidens agenda for the second half of his term. They will also test former President Donald J. Trumps role as a G.O.P. kingmaker. Heres what to know:
What are the midterm elections?Midterms take place two years after a presidential election, at the midpoint of a presidential term hence the name. This year, a lot of seats are up for grabs, including all 435 House seats, 35 of the 100 Senate seats and 36 of 50 governorships.
What do the midterms mean for Biden?With slim majorities in Congress, Democrats have struggled to pass Mr. Bidens agenda. Republican control of the House or Senate would make the presidents legislative goals a near-impossibility.
What are the races to watch?Only a handful of seats will determine if Democrats maintain control of the House over Republicans, and a single state could shift power in the 50-50 Senate. Here are 10 races to watch in the House and Senate, as well as several key governors contests.
When are the key races taking place?The primary gauntlet is already underway. Closely watched races in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia were held in May, with more taking place through the summer. Primaries run until September before the general election on Nov. 8.
Probably Ron DeSantis would be my next choice, Mr. Merritt said. Because he was the most like Mr. Trump of the Republican candidates.
Trump Approval Rating By State 2022
The presidential job approval ratings in the U.S. were introduced in the late 1930s by George Gallup to gauge public support for the president during their term. Approval ratings are determined by polling given to a sample of people.
Like most surveys, poll results may be inaccurate due to samples that self-select. However, statisticians generally accept the approval rating as a factual indicator of the peoples feelings about the president.
As of April 2020, President Trumps approval rate is 46.0% and his disapproval is at 49.6%.
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Donald Trump’s Popularity Declining Among Gop Voters In These States
Donald Trump remains a popular Republican in a number of key election states, although voters’ positive view of him has waned slightly in places where his endorsed candidates are seeking primary elections, according to a poll.
A Morning Consult survey found that Trump has a strong favorability rating with Republicans in Georgia , North Carolina , Ohio and Pennsylvania .
However, the results show that Trump’s favorability has fallen slightly in Georgia and Ohio compared to January 2021, where Trump was polling at 89 percent and 81 percent respectively.
In both Georgia and Ohio, Trump also saw his unfavorable rating increase slightly from last January, up four points in Georgia to 14 percent, and two points in Ohio to 19 percent.
The debate about Trump’s popularity within the GOP will increase over the coming months as his endorsed candidates across all areas of government hope to sweep their elections following his approval.
Trump has already seen some success in Texas primaries in March, where all 33 of the former president’s publicly supported candidates either won outright, or were put through to a runoff where they are overwhelmingly the favorite to eventually win.
However, as with virtually all of Trump’s endorsements, there is the caveat that many of his picks went to incumbents, who rarely lose renomination, with at least seven of his preferred candidates running unopposed.
Leaders Poll Well In A Crisis
Leaders are getting strong public support in this crisis it’s happening throughout the U.S., and in lots of other places.
Look at the results from one Fox News poll. It asked respondents to rank the performance of various figures in the U.S. Everyone got good marks and everyone else polled better than Trump.
Seventy-seven per cent approved of the job done by Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases local officials got 75 per cent state governments 74 per cent Vice-President Mike Pence 55 per cent and Trump 51 per cent.
- ‘We’ve kept the whole damn country running’: Pandemic deepens divide between haves and have-nots in U.S.
The federal and provincial governments in Canada are getting high marks for their handling of the crisis, with approval ratings mainly in the 60s and, in the case of Quebec Premier François Legault, way higher. One survey showed 93 per cent support for Legault’s performance.
Warning to all of them: this kind of mid-crisis polling can prove to be the political equivalent of a sugar high.
Take George H.W. Bush, who had an approval rating around 90 per cent after winning the first Gulf War in 1991 but lost re-election the following year. A soft economy quickly pulled his Gallup approval down as low as 29 per cent.
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Donald Trump Isn’t Getting Any More Popular
Analysis by Chris Cillizza, CNN Editor-at-large
Usually when presidents leave office, they almost immediately get more popular. The longer they are out of office, the more kindly the public tends to think of them.
unchangedno1) Trump has never really gone away.still2) There are no on-the-fence voters when it comes to Trump.The Point: While the electoral outlook for Democrats in 2022 is full of doom and gloom, if Trump is the GOP nominee in 2024 and his numbers stay close to where they are in a swing state like Wisconsin, then President Joe Biden has a solid chance at a second term.
Trumps Grip On Gop Faces New Strains
Shifts in polls of Republicans, disagreements on endorsements and jeers over vaccines hint at daylight between the former president and the right-wing movement he spawned.
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About halfway into his Texas rally on Saturday evening, Donald J. Trump pivoted toward the teleprompter and away from a meandering set of grievances to rattle off a tightly prepared list of President Bidens failings and his own achievements.
Lets simply compare the records, Mr. Trump said, as supporters in Trump 2024 shirts cheered behind him, framed perfectly in the television shot.
Mr. Trump, who later went on to talk about that beautiful, beautiful house that happens to be white, has left increasingly little doubt about his intentions, plotting an influential role in the 2022 midterm elections and another potential White House run. But a fresh round of skirmishes over his endorsements, fissures with the Republican base over vaccines a word Mr. Trump conspicuously left unsaid at Saturdays rally and new polling all show how his longstanding vise grip on the Republican Party is facing growing strains.
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Biden Is Struggling To Please Both The Progressive Voters And The Trump Haters Who Helped Elect Him
President Joe Bidens approval ratings have now been in decline for nearly a year, making him the least popular president at this time in his presidency in 70 years, save for Donald Trump. Yulia Pechenkina and Helmut Norpoth argue that Bidens falling ratings can be linked to progressive disenchantment with his failures so far to deliver on many of his election promises, and a lack of support from those who voted against Donald Trump rather than for Biden in 2020.
As the world is shocked by Russian atrocities in Ukraine, and grapples with the repercussions of sanctions as well as rising inflation, Americans look to their chief executive for comfort and leadership. Or rather, they look for someone to hold responsible for the troubles abroad and within.
Comeback Is Still Possible
But trends are not destiny. President Ronald Reagan went from low approval during the 1982 recession to the strongest reelection in modern history. On the other hand, George H.W. Bush was soaring at 80% approval at the start of his second year, and two years later was staring at defeat at the hands of a previously little known Arkansas governor.
Biden could turn things around, but his government seems less to be charting its own course than the product of events beyond its control. And despite his historically bad approval numbers, the White House still seems unaware or unconvinced that Biden’s presidency is failing.
Maybe miracles will happen. COVID will ebb, inflation will fade, the economy will bloom, Russia will retreat, Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia will cave, progressives will rally, Republicans will cooperate, unity will prevail, and those sub-Trump approval numbers will shoot right back up.
Maybe. But dont bet on it.
James S. Robbins, a member of USA TODAY’s Board of Contributors and author of “This Time We Win: Revisiting the Tet Offensive,” has taught at the National Defense University and the Marine Corps University and served as a special assistant in the office of the secretary of Defense in the George W. Bush administration. Follow him on Twitter:
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New Polling And Fundraising Figures Suggest Slippage
CRACKS ARE starting to show at the top of the Republican Party. The Republican National Committee last week censured Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger, two of Donald Trumps chief critics in the House, for taking part in the congressional investigation of last years attack on the Capitol and aiding the persecution of ordinary citizens engaged in legitimate political discourse. On February 8th Mitch McConnell, the partys Senate leader, hit back, calling the events of January 6th 2021 a violent insurrection for the purpose of trying to prevent the peaceful transfer of power after a legitimately certified election from one administration to the next.
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A few days earlier Mike Pence took a similarly firm stance against his ex-bosss claims of election-rigging. I heard this week that President Trump said I had a right to overturn the election, Mr Pence said. President Trump is wrongAnd frankly, there is no idea more un-American than the notion that any one person could choose the American president.
These spats highlight a growing rift between some senior party figures over Mr Trump. And there are other signs that Mr Trumps grip on Republicans is slipping.
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This article appeared in the United States section of the print edition under the headline “Signs of less Trumpy times”