Forget The Polls And What Some Leftists Say Democrats Know With Certainty That Trump Wins Re
Trump beat Hillary and Biden is easier to beat. Undoubtedly.
So I appreciate Pelosis hard work in attempting to get rid of President Trump before the end of his first term. Moreover, Pelosi invoked the Democrat playbook, as she set the stage for future disruption of President Trumps agenda. And likely election interfering. All to no avail.
Trump is undeniably in charge. Hes even begun to talk about his second term, stating the business he plans on getting to then. Trump doesnt use these phrases lightly. He knows the polling, and he knows his opponents. But most importantly, he knows the job ahead.
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United States Presidential Election2024 United States presidential election
The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, scheduled for Tuesday, November 5, 2024. It will be the first presidential election after electoral votes are redistributed according to the post-2020 censusreapportionment. Incumbent president Joe Biden stated in January 2022 his intent to run for reelection to a second term, with Vice President Kamala Harris as his running mate. However, as of September 2022 Biden has not committed to a reelection campaign. Former President Donald Trump suggested in March 2022 that he intends to run for president for a nonconsecutive second term, after his loss in 2020.
In the United States, general elections follow caucuses and primary elections held by the major parties to determine their nominees. The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on January 20, 2025.
The Trump Reelection Prophecy That You Never Heard About
The Trump Reelection Prophecy That You Never Heard About by Michael L. Brown for Ask Dr Brown
To this moment, there are prophets claiming that Trump is the legitimate president in Gods sight and that, very shortly, he will be restored to power by the military. And it is prophets like this who made headlines last year as their guarantees of Trumps reelection fell to the ground. But there are other prophetic words that were spoken last year to smaller groups, words that predicted something very different. This past Tuesday, I learned about another such word.
Prior to this, I had been approached by different individuals who shared with me privately that they sensed that Trump would not be reelected, contrary to what so many prophets felt that they heard.
One was a dear friend since the 1980s, Ron Cantor, a Messianic Jewish leader in Israel. He contacted me last September, along with a number of other leaders whom he trusted, saying that he felt strongly that Biden would win, a major reason being that the Church was looking to Trump in an idolatrous way.
In the weeks that followed, he felt totally sure that Biden would be our next president. Still, he said nothing until after the elections, although, again, I can attest that he sent me all this back in September.
Other colleagues subsequently shared similar words with me. But they too had not gone public until after the elections.
Yes, Trump will come and save us.
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Whowill Show Up To Elect
With the pandemic stillin full swing in the U.S. It is quite difficult to predict who is going to showup come election time.
If there is a strongturnout for Democrats, this could cause Trump to lose Florida, Texas, Arizona,Tennessee, and Georgia, all of which are considered to be pure Red states.Losing these would make it extremely difficult if not impossible for Trump towin this one.
However, if there isweak Democratic turnout, along with a sharper economic recovery, this couldgive Trump a “razor-thin” electoral college victory, just like what happenedwhen Trump faced Clinton. While Clinton won the popular vote, it was theElectoral Wins that secured Trump his victory.
“Every incumbentpresident facing a recession in the lead-up to reelection has lost,” saidEd Mills, Washington policy analyst at Raymond James.
But the key will bewhether voters feel that the economy is back on the right track, withunemployment falling sharply and GDP rapidly recovering.
“The real debate iswhat does the economy look like on Election Day?” said Mills. “Will thecountry have gotten past the worst of Covid-19 and the worst of the economicshock?”
No one can answer thosequestions with certainty right now.
Retrospective: Odds Of Trump Being Reelected In 2020
Donald Trumps reelection odds were favorable until April when it became clear that his responses to Black Lives Matter protests and the Coronavirus were not going over well with a majority of bettors.
At that time, Joe Biden took the lead in the 2020 Presidential election odds and remained the favorite through his win in November.
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Model Predictions As Of October 23 2017
For comparison purposes, Ive developed three different prediction models one that uses Bayesian inference, as described above, to provide estimates based solely on job approval numbers from the Gallup tracking poll a second that also uses Bayesian inference, but which relies on aggregated polling data from many polls in addition to Gallup and a third that does not rely on Bayesian inference at all, but instead uses a logistic regression model with two predictor variables, specifically approval ratings from Gallup tracking polls and the number of days prior to Election Day each poll was conducted.
The predictions for each model, as of October 23, 2017, are shown below:
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Grand Jury Convened In Criminal Investigation Of Trump
Only one president, Grover Cleveland, has ever lost a re-election bid and come back to reclaim the White House. In modern times, one-term presidents have worried more about rehabilitating their legacies by taking on nonpartisan causes Democrat Jimmy Carter by building housing for the poor and George H.W. Bush by raising money for disaster aid, for example than about trying to shape national elections. But Trump retains a hold on the Republican electorate that is hard to overstate, and he has no intention of relinquishing it.
“There’s a reason why they’re called ‘Trump voters,'” Miller said. “They either don’t normally vote or don’t normally vote for Republicans.”
Trump lost the popular vote by more than 7 million last year and the Electoral College by the same 306-232 result by which he had won four years earlier but he got more votes than any other Republican nominee in history. And it would have taken fewer than 44,000 votes, spread across swing states Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin, to reverse the outcome.
Republicans, including Trump allies, say it’s too early to know what he will do, or what the political landscape will look like, in four years. A busload of Republican hopefuls are taking similar strides to position themselves. They include former Vice President Mike Pence, who is speaking to New Hampshire Republicans on Thursday, an event that the Concord Monitor called the kickoff of the 2024 race.
That’s basically what Trump is doing.
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Presidency Of Donald Trump
|Presidency of Donald TrumpJanuary 20, 2017 January 20, 2021|
|This article is part of a series about|
Donald Trump‘s tenure as the 45thpresident of the United States began with his inauguration on January 20, 2017, and ended on January 20, 2021. Trump, a Republican from New York City, took office following his Electoral College victory over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election, in which he did not win a plurality of the popular vote. Trump made an unprecedented number of false or misleading statements during his campaign and presidency. His presidency ended with defeat in the 2020 presidential election to DemocratJoe Biden after one term in office. It was the first presidency since that of Herbert Hoover in 1932 in which a sitting president was defeated and his party lost its majorities in both chambers of Congress.
Robert Mueller‘s Special Counsel investigation concluded that Russia interfered to favor Trump’s candidacy and that while the prevailing evidence “did not establish that members of the Trump campaign conspired or coordinated with the Russian government,” possible obstructions of justice occurred during the course of that investigation.
Trump attempted to pressure Ukraine to announce investigations into his political rival Joe Biden, triggering his first impeachment by the House of Representatives on December 18, 2019, but he was acquitted by the Senate on February 5, 2020.
Get A Working Holiday Visa In Australia Or New Zealand
If youre 30 or under, you qualify to spend a year living and working in Australia or New Zealand! These are the only traditional working visas currently available to Americans.
In both countries, you can apply for the visa if youre as old as 30 you can enter the country within one year of receiving your visa, which means you could start your year at age 31. Australia also offers the option of taking a second year if you spend three months working in regional Australia . Edit: Ive since learned the second year is not available to Americans, sadly. Brits and Canadians can take advantage of this option, however.
You could spend your year bartending in Cairns or Queenstown, working on a winery in the Barossa Valley or Marlborough, working at a corporate job in Melbourne or Wellington, or taking on a hospitality job just about anywhere. And those are just a few of the possibilities.
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White Nationalists And Charlottesville Rally
On August 13, 2017, Trump condemned violence on many sides after a gathering of hundreds of white nationalists in Charlottesville, Virginia, the previous day turned deadly. A white supremacist drove a car into a crowd of counter-protesters, killing one woman and injuring 19 others. According to Sessions, that action met the definition of domestic terrorism. During the rally there had been other violence, as some counter-protesters charged at the white nationalists with swinging clubs and mace, throwing bottles, rocks, and paint. Trump did not expressly mention Neo-Nazis, white supremacists, or the alt-right movement in his remarks on August 13, but the following day condemned the KKK, neo-Nazis, white supremacists, and other hate groups. On August 15, he again blamed both sides.
Why President Trump Will Be Re
Go To Headline PrayerLord God, we pray for President Trump. We pray that he would grow in knowing You and that You would direct his schedule and his decisions, that his policies and plans will honor You.Next Article
Donald Trumps presidency has been so widely derided in the national media that a casual observer might easily conclude his prospects for reelection are dim. However, that is not what the odds makers are saying. They give Trump a solid edge over any Democratic candidate in 2020.
The odds makers are right. Trump will probably be reelected if he chooses to run. What follows is an explanation of why the odds favor Trump, and what eight years of his leadership would mean for global security. Lets start with the factors favoring a second term.
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Outside Bets To Win The 2024 Presidential Election
Barring any circumstances that prevent Trump from running, he is a shoo-in to be the Republican nominee for 2024.
At this point, he has no known health problems or hindrances that would prevent him from running. So, we can safely say that he should be the candidate for the G.O.P in two years.
We cant say the same thing about Biden, while Harris looks unsuitable for the role. So, other than Clinton springing a surprise, some of the outside candidates to win the US presidential election in 2024 might be worth a look.
Obama, recently voted as the most admired woman on the planet for the third year in a row, would surely garner significant support.
At odds of +4000, she is not seen as a viable option. However, if the Democratic Party continues to sink like a stone on an iron dinghy, perhaps they will turn to the former first lady. Does it matter that Michelle Obama has no political experience at this level? No. It doesnt.
Thats not to say that she is cut out for the job. But with minimal alternatives, she could be a good outside bet to win the 2024 US presidential election.
Stranger things have happened, folks.
Us Presidential Election Odds Tracker
- See the historical and current odds to win the 2024 Presidential election
- Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump are the betting favorites two years out, with incumbent Joe Biden in third
- Use the graphs below to see how the odds have changed over time
The next US Presidential Election will take place on Tuesday, Nov. 25th, 2024. Democratic incumbent Joe Biden, who started his presidency at age 77, will be 81 on Election Day. In a rare occurrence, the incumbent was not favored in the opening election odds, and he continues to lag behind as campaign season grows nearer.
The graphs and tables, below, show the odds for President-Elect Biden and all other candidates on the board.
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What Motivated The Search Warrant
The Justice Department has declined to comment. But by its nature, the warrant means a criminal investigation is underway. Early reports citing sources familiar with the matter have indicated that the criminal investigation behind the search warrant relates to suspicions that Mr. Trump unlawfully took government files with him when he left the White House.
Earlier this year, the National Archives retrieved 15 boxes that Mr. Trump took with him to his Mar-a-Lago home from the White House residence when his term ended, and said some were found to have contained classified information.
But it is not clear whether Mr. Trump handed over everything. In a statement denouncing the F.B.I.s action on Monday, Mr. Trump said law enforcement officials even broke into my safe.
How About Kamala Harris For President In 2024
If you thought poor old Biden was having a hard time, spare a thought for Harris.
Labeled by some as the worst vice president in American history, Harris approval rating plummeted to 32% recently. That makes the VP the most unpopular of all time.
Harris is experiencing a mass exodus of staff, as many of her aides flee what they see as a sinking ship. From claims of a toxic workplace to a complete loss of support, Harris is nowhere near the position many of us thought she would be at this point.
The odds for Kamala Harris to win the 2024 presidential election are +800. Which is very generous, with all things considered? It would be a historic day for the United States if a female president was elected to office and one that many of us would like to see. But Harris? Im not so sure.
Voters dont just want a female president for the sake of having one, as evidenced by Hillary Clintons implosion in 2016. Any president, regardless of their sex or background, should be there on merit. Harris, unfortunately, has shown no aptitude in her current role and, therefore, is highly unlikely to be the leader this country needs.
You can bet on a female president of the United States not named Kamala Harris. There are other candidates, which you can read more about, below. Just keep in mind that the following piece was published in October.
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President Donald Trumps Running Policies
Trumps 2020 Presidential campaign used a lot of ideas presented during his 2016 campaign. Trump was still railing against illegal immigration and globalism while promising legislation and executive actions to improve the economy, create more jobs, and install stronger foreign policies.
For 2020, his slogan was changed from Make America Great Again to Keep America Great. These platforms worked well in 2016, and his greater focus on economic recovery should have increased the odds of Trump being re-elected the second time around. However, the coronavirus and 1619 Riots derailed that considerably.
If Trump runs in 2024, you can expect his policies to remain largely the same, though some new ones will obviously be mixed in for good measure.
A Radical Plan For Trumps Second Term
Former President Trumps top allies are preparing to radically reshape the federal government if he is re-elected, purging potentially thousands of civil servants and filling career posts with loyalists to him and his “America First ideology, people involved in the discussions tell Axios.
The impact could go well beyond typical conservative targets such as the Environmental Protection Agency and the Internal Revenue Service. Trump allies are working on plans that would potentially strip layers at the Justice Department including the FBI, and reaching into national security, intelligence, the State Department and the Pentagon, sources close to the former president say.
During his presidency, Trump often complained about what he called the deep state.
The heart of the plan is derived from an executive order known as Schedule F, developed and refined in secret over most of the second half of Trumps term and launched 13 days before the 2020 election.
The reporting for this series draws on extensive interviews over a period of more than three months with more than two dozen people close to the former president, and others who have firsthand knowledge of the work underway to prepare for a potential second term. Most spoke on condition of anonymity to describe sensitive planning and avoid Trumps ire.
Trumps new targets
Nobody raised their hand. Well thats a good thing, Meadows said. They often werent cooperating with us.
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