Looking Ahead To 2022
Looking ahead to 2022 midterm elections, which will take place a year from now, 47 percent of registered voters say they prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, while 45 percent say they want Republicans in charge essentially unchanged from August.
But the GOP enjoys a significant enthusiasm advantage at this point in the election cycle, with 69 percent of Republicans expressing a high level of interest about the midterms , versus 58 percent of Democrats who hold the same level of interest.
When asked which party better handles particular issues, Republicans hold double-digit advantages on border security , inflation , crime , national security , the economy and being effective and getting things done .
Will Trump Be A Factor Or Not
Finally, the poll finds 20 percent of registered voters saying their vote in 2022 will be a signal of opposition against Trump and 21 percent saying it will be a signal of opposition against Biden.
A majority of voters 52 percent say their vote wont be a signal about either Trump or Biden.
Little to me indicates that Trump, a year after the election, is uniquely a figure thats driving the vote, McInturff said.
The NBC News poll was conducted Oct. 23-26 of 1,000 adults 650 of whom were reached only by cellphone and it has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points.
The margin of error for the polls 820 registered voters is plus-minus 3.4 percentage points.
Can I Still Vote If I Have Covid
Yes. If you have been diagnosed with COVID-19 or are exhibiting symptoms, consider requesting an emergency mail-in ballot or using curbside voting. Contact your county elections office for more details about both options.
Have you run into hurdles or problems while trying to vote in Texas? We want your help in reporting on those challenges. Tell The Texas Tribune your voting story.
The economy was the most important issue behind the presidential vote for 11% of voters, and for 22% of independents asked to name the top issue behind their choice. It was also the top pick among Republicans , followed by socialism and/or communism, the issue mentioned by 12% of Republican voters on that open-ended question. Among Democrats, 19% cited removing the president as their top issue, followed by coronavirus/COVID-19 and health care .
Most voters have made their final decisions: 91% said they are unlikely to change their minds before they vote.
The reality is, if you look across those items, you see that the issue is, again, the personal traits of the president and, to a lesser extent, the former vice president, said Josh Blank, research director for the Texas Politics Project at UT-Austin. Ultimately, it is all about Trump.
The president lost independents in Texas a little while ago, and he hasnt gained them back, Blank said. Thats affecting Republicans up and down the ballot.
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Trump Approval In Iowa Poll Higher Than When He Was President
Former President Donald Trump has increased his appeal with Iowa voters since leaving office, recently reaching a historic high approval rating in a Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll.
Trump is set to hold a rally in Iowa on Saturday amid increased speculation of a 2024 presidential run, but he’s unlikely to make any official announcement at the rally. The former president turned Iowa red in 2016 and while President Joe Biden is struggling in the state, Trump’s approval has increased over the past few months.
A new poll from the Des Moines Register and Mediacom found Iowans gave Trump a 53 percent approval rating. This marks the highest approval rating Trump has ever received since the Register and Mediacom started conducting the poll, this most recent rating was two points higher than the one from March 2020, which was Trump’s previous record high.
Trump’s current approval rating is eight points higher than it was in March, the last time the poll was conducted. Among Republicans, Trump is more popular than Senator Chuck Grassley, who has represented Iowa in the Senate since being elected in 1980.
“I did not foresee the day when Donald Trump would be 10 points more popular with Iowa Republicans than the venerable Chuck Grassley,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., told the Des Moines Register.
Both polls surveyed more than 800 Iowans and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Not Thrilled With Biden But Absolutely Not Missing Trump
These two focus groups consisted of all Biden voters, but overwhelmingly they still consider themselves Republicans. They haven’t yet left the party, even though they’re disillusioned by Trump’s ongoing presence and the control he still holds.
In contrast to the majority of Republicans responding to polls, none of these voters falsely believes the 2020 election was stolen.
None said they regret their 2020 vote. And while they may be disappointed in Biden, they absolutely rule out voting for Trump if he runs for president again.
Former President Donald Trump waves to the crowd at the end of a rally on Saturday in Perry, Ga.hide caption
Former President Donald Trump waves to the crowd at the end of a rally on Saturday in Perry, Ga.
Take Christine from the Philadelphia suburbs. Like others in her focus group, she said she first voted for Trump because he was a businessman and not a politician.
But she got far more than she bargained for. She used blunt language to describe the former president: “I felt like we had this monster in office that was bipolar, up and down, irrational, crazy thinking.” She called Trump “childish,” said that “crazy things came out of his mouth,” and that he was “not good for the United States.”
And after all of that, Christine confessed: “I didn’t want to vote for Biden. And I’m going to be honest with you, I would have voted for anybody but Trump.”
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What Polls Say About Gop Support For Trump Amid 2024 Presidential Run Rumors
Trump maintained his hold on the GOP after leaving office and despite some efforts to move the party past him, the former president established himself as the leader. A clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination for president, it’s likely that if Trump enters the race, other GOP hopefuls will take a back seat.
Rumors started swirling about Trump’s 2024 run after Undercurrent News journalist Lauren Windsor reported that Representative Jim Jordan told her Trump would announce his bid “any day now.” Jordan’s spokesperson denied he made the remarks, prompting Windsor to release a video of the congressman saying he spoke with Trump and he “knows” he’ll run.
Trump’s spokesperson denied the former president told Jordan he’s running and told Newsweek that an announcement about a 2024 run wasn’t imminent.
The former president has teased a run for months. He often said his decision would make people very “happy” and those close to the former president have expressed the belief that he would run for president again.
When asked about the likelihood that Trump will run in 2024, Miller told Cheddar News on Friday that it’s between “99 and 100 percent” that he will join the race.
Approval Index1500 Likely Voters +/
Some readers wonder how we come up with our job approval ratings for the president since they often dont show as dramatic a change as some other pollsters do. It depends on how you ask the question and whom you ask.
To get a sense of longer-term job approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.
Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology .
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.
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Biden Leading National Presidential Polls
National polls are a good guide as to how popular a candidate is across the country as a whole, but they’re not necessarily a good way to predict the result of the election.
In 2016, for example, Hillary Clinton led in the polls and won nearly three million more votes than Donald Trump, but she still lost – that’s because the US uses an electoral college system, so winning the most votes doesn’t always win you the election.
With that caveat aside, Joe Biden has been ahead of Donald Trump in most national polls since the start of the year. He has hovered around 50% in recent months and has had a 10-point lead on occasions.
Data Download: The Numbers You Need To Know Today
58 percent: The share of Americans who say their bigger concern is making sure that everyone who wants to vote can do so, per new NBC News poll.
38 percent: The share who say their bigger concern is making sure that no one votes who is not eligible to vote.
1.6 million: The number of valid signatures collected by backers of the recall election against California Gov. Gavin Newsom, per the secretary of states office.
$400 million: How much the recall election could cost, according to the California Association of Clerks and Election Officials.
$15 an hour: The new minimum wage for federal contractors, starting in January, under an executive order that President Biden is set to sign.
89: The number of people New York fell short by in its count to retain one of its House seats.
32,276,517: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials.
576,763: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far, per the most recent data from NBC News. (Thats 474 more than yesterday morning.
230,768,454: The number of vaccine doses administered in the U.S.
26.5 percent: The share of Americans who are fully vaccinated
2: The number of days left for Biden to reach his 100-day vaccination goal.
Sahil Kapur notes that Bidens first 100 days have been shaped in some ways by the first 100 days of his Democratic predecessor.
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Why Biden Has Taken Up Vaccine Mandates And The Political Fight Over Them
Then she added that there’s just an overall unease that’s troubling. “It’s just kind of, like, not really trusting what to expect,” she said.
As for Biden, she said, “I just put him at, like, the average. He hasn’t done anything great. And outside of Afghanistan, nothing awful.” But she was clearly hoping for better.
Some Very Good Polling News For Donald Trump
Analysis by Lauren Dezenski, CNN
Among all-important Iowa voters, former President Donald Trump notched his highest favorability rating ever, according to the latest Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll.
- 53% of Iowans now have a favorable view of Trump.
- 45% now have an unfavorable view of Trump.
- 2% are not sure how they feel.
To be clear,The Point: A new poll shows Iowans are bigger fans of Trump than ever. And that could fuel his ongoing flirtation with running for president again in 2024.
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Effects Of The 2020 Census
The election has been the early subject of attention by analysts and commentators, as it will be the first U.S. presidential election to occur after the reapportionment of votes in the United States Electoral College, which will follow the 2020 United States census. This realignment of electoral college votes will remain consistent through the 2028 election. Reapportionment will be conducted again after the 2030 United States Census.
The House of Representatives will have redistributed the seats among the 50 states based on the results of the 2020 census, and the states will conduct a redistricting cycle in 2021 and 2022, where Congressional and state legislative districts will be redrawn. In most states, the governor and the state legislature conduct the redistricting . The party that wins a presidential election often experiences a coattail effect, which helps other candidates of that party win elections. In 2020, although its nominee Joe Biden won the presidential election, the Democratic Party did not flip any state legislature chambers and in fact lost both New Hampshire legislative chambers and the Montana governorship. This will allow the Republican Party to have redistricting control of seats in New Hampshire, potentially leading to gerrymandering that will stay in effect until the 2030 census, similar to the REDMAP project after the 2010 Census.
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For more information, click through the page. Updates on joe biden, the 46th president of the united states. Former vice president joe biden won the presidential election on november 3, 2020. Biden received 306 electoral votes and president donald trump . Elected president in 20210, he previously served as the 47th vice president under president .
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