Question20 Since The 2020 Presidential Election Do You Think That Donald Trump Has Been Undermining Democracy Or Protecting Democracy
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoUndermining 51% 8% 94% 48% 44% 56% 60% 35%Protecting 39 85 4 40 43 35 33 53DK/NA 11 6 2 12 12 9 7 12 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspUndermining 54% 52% 50% 49% 36% 50% 43% 83% 52%Protecting 28 38 44 44 50 42 46 11 35DK/NA 18 9 6 7 13 8 10 6 13
Trump Shares Poll Of Him Crushing Desantis As Rumors Swirl Over Challenge
Donald Trump has shared a poll indicating he would comprehensively beat Ron DeSantis for the 2024 Republican nomination for president amid continuing speculation the Florida governor is planning on announcing his candidacy.
The former president the results of a recent Zogby Poll on Truth Social on Wednesday that indicated that he is still an overwhelming favorite to clinch the Republican nomination should he choose to run.
Posting Trumps Truths
The survey shows Trump has the backing of nearly 54 percent of votes from Republican primary votersjust under five times the amount that second place DeSantis received .
DeSantis and Trump have long been considered to be the main frontrunners who will throw their hats in the ring for a 2024 run, with the former president dominating almost every poll in which the two are a hypothetical match-up in a GOP primary.
However, DeSantis has started seeing some improvements in surveys, with bookmakers also dramatically slicing odds earlier this year on him eventually becoming president.
On Wednesdaythe same day Trump shared the Zogby Poll on Truth Sociala public opinion survey in New Hampshire revealed that 39 percent of Republican primary voters would like to see DeSantis as the GOP presidential pick, with Trump closely behind on 37 percent.
DeSantis has been contacted by Newsweek for comment.
Trumps Survival After Scandals
More than a year and a half since Trump left office, 58 percent of Americans hold an unfavorable view of him, according to this latest poll. That includes 89 percent of Democrats and 63 percent of independents. But 83 percent of Republicans say they still favor Trump, along with roughly a third of all Americans.
Trumps favorability among the GOP outpaces that of a handful of other Republicans who are considered potential rivals for a White House bid in 2024:
According to GOP strategist and conservative pollster Whit Ayres, most Republicans are also open to having a new candidate who carries less baggage than they believe Trump carries as their nominee in 2024.
It all depends on who the alternatives are, Ayres said. Most alternatives arent nationally known here.
Trumps political resilience is unlike anything else in U.S. presidential history, said Jeffrey Engel, who directs the Center for Presidential History at Southern Methodist University in Dallas.
As with everything with Donald Trump, history gives us no guide, Engel said.
One comparison is tough to ignore, though todays political dynamics are nearly opposite. In 1974, after an investigation uncovered that President Richard Nixons reelection campaign had bugged the phones at the Democratic National Committee headquarters, Nixon resigned in disgrace before he could be impeached. He retreated from public life and partially rebuilt his reputation in foreign policy during the decades that followed, Engel said.
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About The Vanderbilt Poll
The survey of 1,000 adults who are registered voters living in Tennessee was conducted between April 26 and May 14, 2022, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points. The statewide poll is conducted annually by Vanderbilt Universitys Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions. In 2015, the Vanderbilt Poll became a charter member of the American Association for Public Opinion Researchs Transparency Initiative. More detailed results and methodology can be found at vu.edu/poll.
Key Findings From The Times/siena College Poll
The first poll of the midterm cycle.The New York Times has released its first national survey of the 2022 midterm cycle. Heres what to know:
Bidens struggles to win approval.President Biden is facing an alarming level of doubt from inside his own party, with 64 percent of Democratic voters saying they would prefer a new standard-bearer in 2024. Voters nationwide, meanwhile, gave Mr. Biden a meager 33 percent job-approval rating, and only 13 percent said the nation was on the right track.
Some in G.O.P. are ready to leave Trump behind.As the former president weighs another White House bid, nearly half of Republican primary voters would prefer someone other than Mr. Trump for president in 2024, with a significant number vowing to abandon him if he wins the nomination.
A tight race for Congress.Despite Mr. Bidens low approval ratings, Democrats are roughly tied with Republicans ahead of the midterm elections. Among registered voters, 41 percent said they preferred Democrats to control Congress compared with 40 percent who preferred Republicans.
The class divide widens.Voters who said abortion, guns or threats to democracy were the biggest problem facing the country backed Democrats by a wide margin, as Republicans make new inroads among nonwhite and working-class voters who remain more concerned about the economy.
Still, many Republicans who favor someone else in a primary would nonetheless rally behind Mr. Trump if he won the nomination.
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Ballotpedia’s Polling Index: Opinion Polling During The Trump Administration
|Cabinet White House staff Transition team|
|Polling indexes: Opinion polling during the Trump administration|
During President Donald Trump‘s term, Ballotpedia tracked 2,895 approval polls from 21 polling firms that asked voters about the direction of the country and their approval of Congress’ and President Trump’s job performance. This page is an overview of opinion polling averages during Trump’s term. Ballotpedia’s polling indexes are an average of polls that measure public sentiment on presidential job approval, congressional job approval, and satisfaction with the overall direction of the country.
Ballotpedia’s polling index was updated daily on weekdays from January 27, 2017, through the end of President Trump’s term on January 20, 2021. The most recent poll released by each qualifying source was included in each day’s opinion averages. Polls were removed from the opinion averages when the pollster released a more recent poll or if 30 days had passed since the poll had been in the field, whichever occurred first. This means that all the figures on this page, even those referring to specific dates, are averages from across multiple polls rather than numbers taken from any one poll.
To view the current polling index, click here. For a comparison of opinion polling under the Trump and Biden administrations, click here.
On this page, you will find coverage of three polling averages:
Poll: Nearly 60% Of Americans Say Trump Should Be Charged For Jan 6
After three days of hearings examining the Jan. 6 riot at the U.S. Capitol, a new poll found that a majority of Americans say that former President Donald Trump should face charges for his role in the insurrection.
What You Need To Know
- A new ABC News / Ipsos poll published Sunday found that found that 58% of respondents believe that the former president should be charged for his role in the Jan. 6 riot
- The results of the survey are mostly divided along party lines, with more than 90% of Democrats saying that Trump bears a âgreat dealâ or âgood amountâ of responsibility for the attack on the capital, compared with only 21% of Republicans
- Though the hearings have already attracted millions of viewers, only 34% of those surveyed said they are following the committee’s investigation, with just 9% saying they are following it closely
- Whether the hearings will have an impact on the upcoming midterms is still uncertain, with around half â 51% â of the respondents stating that the hearings have made no difference in how they plan to vote in the upcoming midterm elections
The new ABC News/Ipsos survey, published on Sunday, found that 58% of respondents believe that the former President should be charged with a crime for his role in the Jan. 6 attack, up from 52% in an ABC News/Washington Post poll from earlier this year.
More than 60% of independents polled say that the former president should be charged.
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Trump Still Beats Biden In 2024 Rematch Despite Jan 6 Hearings: Polls
Former President Donald Trump is still favored to defeat President Joe Biden in a 2024 rematch if both politicians ultimately become their respective party’s nominees, despite the evidence and testimony presented in televised hearings by the House select committee investigating the January 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol.
Since June 9, the committee has held eight lengthy public hearings revealing what many analysts have described as “damning” evidence against Trump. The hearings have focused on the former president’s actions, and lack thereof, when the Capitol riot unfolded, as well as his efforts to unconstitutionally overturn Biden’s 2020 election win. Prominent Republican officials from Trump’s own administration have provided testimony.
Regardless of the hearings and the evidence being laid out against Trump, recent polling largely shows that the former president would still more likely than not win in 2024 if he faces off against Biden a second time. Notably, Trump has not officially confirmed a plan to run for another White House term. Biden has said multiple times that he will seek reelection.
Polling from Trafalgar Group showed the former president with an even more substantial lead of 5 points. That survey, which was conducted from July 11 to 14, had Trump at 48 percent and Biden at 43 percent. The poll included 1,085 likely voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9 percent.
Question1a Do You Approve Or Disapprove Of The Way Joe Biden Is Handling His Job As President Combined With: Do You Strongly Or Somewhat Approve/disapprove
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoApprove strongly 18% 1% 45% 12% 13% 23% 27% 10%Approve smwht 18 2 34 16 16 20 23 14Disapprove smwht 8 8 6 10 8 8 6 6Disapprove strongly 43 87 5 46 49 37 40 58DK/NA 12 3 9 16 13 12 4 11 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspApprove strongly 8% 18% 20% 31% 11% 21% 16% 36% 18%Approve smwht 23 20 17 12 15 18 17 28 14Disapprove smwht 18 4 4 5 6 6 6 8 12Disapprove strongly 29 46 51 48 58 46 52 14 39DK/NA 22 11 9 5 10 8 9 13 17
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New Polls Show Trump Losing Ground To Desantis In Potential 2024 Matchup
New public polling from Michigan shows Republican voters increasingly willing to look at a conservative alternative to Donald Trump, even as they still view the 45th president favorably.
Driving the news: A Detroit News pollof likely Republican primary voters found Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis statistically tied with Trump in a hypothetical 2024 GOP presidential field, with Trump’s favorability rating dipping from 84% to 76% since May.
Why it matters: Individual polls don’t necessarily mean much especially this early but the trends bear watching.
- Last month, the University of New Hampshire found DeSantis statistically tied with Trump in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire. Two recent private polls in Florida gave DeSantis a clear advantage in his home state.
Between the lines: The Detroit News poll showed an eye-opening class divide: College-educated Republicans favored DeSantis by 14 percentage points, while those with a high school diploma but not college back Trump by a 26-point margin.
- Nearly two-thirds of Michigan Republicans said they’d support Trump running for president again, but less than a majority said they “strongly support” the idea.
What’s next: Aug. 2 primaries in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington state will be the next big tests for Trump’s influence in the party.
Trump Leads Biden In Hypothetical 2024 Match
Former President Trump has an early edge over President Biden in a hypothetical 2024 rematch, according to a new Emerson College poll.
The national survey shows Trump leading Biden 44 percent to 39 percent in a head-to-head match-up, while another 12 percent of voters say they plan to vote for someone else.
Trumps support has held firm since May, when the same poll found him notching 44 percent support in a 2024 race against Biden. But Bidens support has waned somewhat since then, dropping from 42 percent in May to 39 percent in late June.
Of course, whether a rematch of the 2020 presidential race materializes in 2024 remains an open question.
While Biden has said that he plans to seek a second term in the White House, some Democrats have begun questioning whether he should actually do so.
Trump, meanwhile, has repeatedly hinted at a potential 2024 run, though he hasnt yet committed himself to another campaign and some Republicans remain skeptical that he will actually move forward with a comeback bid.
If he does ultimately decide to run, however, Trump would be the early favorite to win the GOP presidential nod. Fifty-five percent of voters say they would support Trump in the 2024 Republican primary, while 20 percent would back Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, a rising star within the party who has been floated as a potential presidential contender.
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Trumps Support In Iowa For Another Run Surpasses Bidens
According to news reports, Trumps decision is more a matter of when to launch a 2024 campaign, not if he should.
Some Republican operatives believe he should wait to make an announcement until after the November midterm elections to avoid taking the focus off Biden, whose approval ratings have plummeted amid rising inflation and soaring gas prices. But aides and allies have said an announcement could come as early as this summer.
Unlike Biden, Trump has fared well in Iowa in the past, placing second in the 2016 presidential caucuses and carrying the state in both the 2016 and 2020 general elections. Today, he garners more support in Iowa for another presidential bid than Biden, his 2020 rival, the poll shows.
Just 23% of Iowans say they hope Biden, 79, runs for president again, while 67% say they hope he does not. Nine percent are not sure.
Unlike Trump, Biden fails to garner a majority of support from within his own party for another campaign. Among Democrats, just 37% say he should run again, while 52% say they hope he does not.
Bidens approval rating in Iowa has hit a new low at 27%. At the same time, the share of Iowans who believe the country is on the wrong track has surpassed even what it was during the 2008 Great Recession. Today, 84% of Iowans believe things in the nation are on the wrong track. Just 10% say they believe things are headed in the right direction.
Top Dem Super Pac To Party: It Could Get Much Worse
Biden has also publicly said he plans to run for reelection. The super PAC supporting him, Unite The Country, is similarly gearing up in the five states the Trump campaign has focused on, first with an eye on the midterms and then the presidential race in 2024.
Steve Schale, CEO for Unite The Country, said he had no reason to doubt Fabrizios polling for Trump as Bidens poll numbers have dropped for months. But Schale noted that midterm polling a year out is hardly predictive of what happens in a presidential election in three years.
There are historical headwinds were facing, that any president faces during a midterm: five of the last seven midterm elections have been wave cycles for the other party, Schale said.
He recalled that then-President Barack Obama won reelection after Democrats were crushed in his first midterm election in 2010, and predicted that, if Republicans recapture Congress, they will veer too far right and damage Trumps chances in 2024.
Still, after Democrats were humbled in Virginias statewide races earlier this month, Schale issued a memo to donors saying it was a wake-up call for the party and pledged a seven-figure ad campaign to tout Bidens accomplishments in Michigan and Pennsylvania.
The polling from Fabrizio suggests that Biden could use the help. On 10 different issues ranging from immigration to gun control to the economy, Trump bests Biden in the swing states, often by double digits, according to the poll.
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Question9 Overall Do You Think Donald Trump Has Had A Mainly Positive Or Mainly Negative Impact On
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoPositive 41% 84% 4% 45% 48% 35% 37% 58%Negative 51 9 94 47 44 58 60 36DK/NA 8 7 2 8 8 7 4 7 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspPositive 33% 36% 47% 49% 57% 45% 50% 12% 37%Negative 56 54 47 49 36 50 44 81 51DK/NA 11 9 6 3 7 5 6 7 12
Nearly Half Of Utah Voters Say They Would Not Choose The Former Gop President If He Were To Run Again
Half of Utahns would vote for or consider voting for Donald Trump if he were to run for president in 2024.
And 48% of Beehive State residents have a favorable opinion of the former president who continues to claim voter fraud cost him the 2020 election.
A new Deseret News/Hinckley Institute of Politics poll found 24% of registered voters in the state would definitely vote for Trump in 2024. Another 26% would consider voting for him.
But 46% say they would not cast their ballot for Trump, while 4% dont know, according to the survey.
Although Utahns as a whole are divided on the former president, he still has strong support from his conservative Republican base and a significant portion stand ready to vote for him in 2024 if that becomes a possibility, said Jason Perry, director of the Hinckley Institute of Politics at the University of Utah.
Dan Jones & Associates conducted the poll of 812 Utah registered voters Nov. 18-30. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.44 percentage points.
Among those in the survey who identified themselves as Republicans, 39% would vote for Trump, while 34% would consider voting for him. Only 23% of Utah Republican voters say they would not choose him in 2024.
Of survey respondents who consider themselves very conservative, 53% would mark their ballot for the former president.
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