How Many Delegates Does Donald Trump Have So Far He Could Seriously Be The Nominee
This is why we can’t have nice things, America. Republicans wished upon a star for a candidate who wasn’t a “Washington insider,” a guy who would really “tell it like it is,” and look what the cat dragged in, ate, and subsequently coughed up: Donald J. Trump, a businessman who wants to ban seemingly any and all immigrants who aren’t Eastern European supermodels interested in marrying him. Trump’s presidential campaign seemed like a joke when it began, but now it’s all too serious. How many delegates does Trump have so far? He currently has more delegates than all the other Republican hopefuls combined. Going into Super Tuesday, Trump has secured 82 delegates, leaving Texas Sen. Ted Cruz with 17, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio with 16, Ohio Gov. John Kasich with 6, and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson with 4.
Quick question, what the hell are Kasich and Carson thinking? Do they really hate their party that much? They’ve already wasted 10 delegates that could conceivably go to a candidate who could eventually overtake Trump, a former reality show host who was fired by NBC for implying that all Mexicans are criminals. Honestly, before looking it up, I’d assumed that Carson must have dropped out by now, because I forgot that being a former neurosurgeon doesn’t guarantee that someone is actually smart. And Kasichâ who is that guy? I literally forget that he exists every single time his name comes up.
Look First To Metro Detroit
A few weeks ago, the Free Press took a deep dive into the state’s regions, their voting trends and their importance in electing statewide candidates. That piece concluded that history indicated that anytime a Democratic presidential or gubernatorial candidate won better than 56% in metro Detroit defined as Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties he or she would win the state.
Clinton won the Democratic-leaning region 55.8%-39.9% for Trump four years ago.
Biden won it 58.6%-40.1%.
Driving Biden’s success wasn’t only the fact that he did better percentage-wise than Clinton did in 2016 across metro Detroit, however. Record turnout of 5.5 million, larger than that seen in the election of 2008, drove his victory. In Oakland County, the state’s second largest county, turnout was nearly 75%, higher than the 72% seen in 2008 in Detroit which is getting smaller and the rest of Wayne County, turnout was 62%, just under that seen in the 2008 election.
And it helped Biden buck history.
And while Trump won Macomb, his margin, 53%-45%, was well below the 54%-42% Trump beat Clinton by there four years ago.
This year, he won the precinct again. But it was 56%-45%.
How Many People Voted For Trump And Made Him President
Zola Ray U.S.Donald TrumpHillary ClintonTrump InaugurationVote
The anniversary of President Donald Trump’s inauguration day is approaching, representing the time that one of the most controversial presidents in modern history assumed power. While more people in the country voted for Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton, the electoral college allowed Trump to become president.
The evening after Clinton conceded the race to Trump on election night, she still had a small lead of 47.7 percent to 47.5 percent in the popular vote, according to CNN. Revised election results in December 2016 showed that Clinton received nearly 2.9 million more votes than Trump. Clinton obtained 48.2 percent of the vote while Trump received 46.1 percent, CNN reported in December 2016.
Out of all defeated candidates in U.S. history, Clinton had the third-highest lead in the popular vote, U.S. Elections Atlas statistics showed. The highest was Andrew Jackson, who in 1824 won the popular vote by over 10 percent, but watched John Quincy Adams take the role of president. Samuel Tilden received more votes, but Rutherford B. Hayes won the election thanks to one electoral vote, according to CNN.
Trump was called out for exaggerating the magnitude of his win in February 2017, when he referred to his victory as “the biggest electoral college win since Ronald Reagan,” NBC News reported. Trump made this claim more than once, and it has been proven untrue.
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Reasons To Believe Donald Trump Has A Small Penis
How does that one saying go? Whoever smelt it dealt it.
Ever since he first walked down that golden escalator to announce his presidency, there have been the nagging questions of why is Donald Trump doing this? How did he really get so much money? Does he really mean everything he says? Hes got money, power, hot wives, and hot daughters what more could he possibly want?
Of course, the thing aboutpeople with golden escalators is that they always want more golden escalators . While there are millions upon millions of physical and political reasons this may be, Id like to take a moment to point out one of the few metaphorical ones that may actually have something to do, at least indirectly, with all of them. Were only human
10 Reasons to Believe Donald Trump has a Small Penis
1. He Claims Outright to Have a Big Penis
2. He Plasters His Name on Every Major Thing He Can Find
3. Hes Filled His House With Gold, Thrones and Other Flaunty Styles of Decoration and Living
4. Hes Commented Repeatedly on His Daughters Attractiveness
5. Hes Clearly Subconsciously Threatened by Mexicans and African Americans
6. He Ruthlessly Attacks his Political Enemies with Less-Than-Reasonable Remarks and Baseless Insults
7. Hes Running For President
Mankind does not grow or live without that knowledge that time is always moving forward, and that, historically as well as practically, human beings progress through thought, respect and love, not blame, resentment and judgment.
Desperate People Cast Desperate Votes
It really isnt about Donald Trump. Its about the fact that many thought and believed President Obama was the change that they wanted in 2008. We still trusted him in 2012. All of that hope has died. This administration keeps telling everyone that things are better, but the middle class now knows that isnt quite true. Wall Street, the banks, and even illegal immigrants seem to be prospering more than the average American citizen. We are desperate. Desperate people do desperate things.
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So Where Does Donald Trump Fit In
“If he ever releases his IQ, I just have a feeling – especially since he is daring Tillerson to release his – that it’s higher than people would presume,” says Dr Perry.
“People who don’t like him say ‘oh he’s such an idiot, oh he’s so stupid’. But I bet you it’s higher than we might realise.”
Professor Fred I Greenstein, professor of politics emeritus at Princeton University, lists six qualities that bear on presidential performance.
They are: public communication, organisational capacity, political skill, vision, cognitive style, and emotional intelligence.
“Trump scores low on emotional intelligence, cognitive style, vision, and organisational capacity,” says Dr Perry.
“Where he has been superb, in order to win the presidency, is public communication and political skill.”
New 2020 Voter Data: How Biden Won How Trump Kept The Race Close And What It Tells Us About The Future
As we saw in 2016 and again in 2020, traditional survey research is finding it harder than it once was to assess presidential elections accurately. Pre-election polls systemically misjudge who is likely to vote, and exit polls conducted as voters leave the voting booths get it wrong as well.
Now, using a massive sample of validated voters whose participation has been independently verified, the Pew Research Center has . It helps us understand how Joe Biden was able to accomplish what Hillary Clinton did notand why President Trump came closer to getting reelected than the pre-election surveys had predicted.
How Joe Biden won
Five main factors account for Bidens success.
How Trump kept it close
Despite non-stop controversy about his policies and personal conduct, President Trump managed to raise his share of the popular vote from 46% in 2016 to 47% in 2020. His core coalition held together, and he made a few new friends.
Longer-term prospects
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Trump On His Own Net Worth
Trump has often given much higher values for his wealth than organizations estimating it. Trump has testified that “my net worth fluctuates, and it goes up and down with markets and with attitudes and with feelingseven my own feelings”. On the same day, Trump’s own stated estimates of his net worth have varied by as much as $3.3 billion. Trump has also acknowledged that past exaggerated estimates of his wealth have been “good for financing”.Forbes has said that although Trump “shares a lot of information with us that helps us get to the figures we publish”, he “consistently pushes for a higher net worthespecially when it comes to the value of his personal brand”.
An Examination Of The 2020 Electorate Based On Validated Voters
By Ruth Igielnik, Scott Keeter and Hannah Hartig
Pew Research Center conducted this study to understand how Americans voted in 2020 and how their turnout and vote choices differed from 2016 and 2018. For this analysis, we surveyed U.S. adults online and verified their turnout in the three general elections using commercial voter files that aggregate official state turnout records. Panelists for whom a record of voting was located are considered validated voters all others are presumed not to have voted.
We surveyed 11,818 U.S. adults online in November 2020, 10,640 adults in November 2018 and 4,183 adults in November and December 2016. The surveys were supplemented with measures taken from annual recruitment and profile surveys conducted in 2018 and 2020. Everyone who took part is a member of Pew Research Centers American Trends Panel , an online survey panel recruited through national, random sampling of telephone numbers or, since 2018, residential addresses. This way nearly all U.S. adults have a chance of selection. The surveys are weighted to be representative of the U.S. adult population by gender, race, ethnicity, partisan affiliation, education, turnout and vote choice in the three elections, and many other characteristics. Read more about the ATPs methodology.
Here are the questions used for this report and its methodology.
Validated voters, defined
Here are some of the other key findings from the analysis:
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The 2020 Election By The Numbers
Its almost over. Yesterday Electoral College electors convened virtually or in person in state capitals across the country to cast their votes. The result was what everyone expected, the election of Joe Biden as president of the United States. With the election now essentially settledRepublican lawmakers may make one last doomed attempt to reverse the results when Congress meets on January 6 to confirm the Electoral College voteheres one last review of how the vote went.
The Electoral College
In 2016, seven electors declined to vote for the candidate they were pledged to. That was the highest number of faithless electors ever, with the exception of the election of 1872. That year sixty-three electors broke their pledge. They had a good reason to do so, however. They were pledged to Democratic candidate Horace Greeleyhe of Go West fame. Greeley died three weeks after losing to Ulysses S. Grant and before the Electoral College met. His pledged electors were understandably reluctant to vote for a dead man. Three electors, however, did cast their votes for Greeley.
Minor Parties And Independents
Third party and independent candidates who have obtained more than 100,000 votes nationally or on Ballot in at least 15 states are listed separately.
Libertarian Party
Ballot access to 84 electoral votes :map
- As write-in: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Illinois, Kansas, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin
- No ballot access: District of Columbia, Florida, Hawaii, Indiana, Mississippi, Nevada, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Dakota, Wyoming
In some states, Evan McMullin’s running mate was listed as Nathan Johnson on the ballot rather than Mindy Finn, although Nathan Johnson was intended to only be a placeholder until an actual running mate was chosen.
| 2016 Independent ticket |
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Biden Performed Better In Other Key Areas Too
It wasn’t just metro Detroit, however. Biden, for instance, did far better than Clinton did in some other areas, and in some of them may have been helped by forces outside his or Trump’s control.
And that accrued to Biden’s benefit in, for instance, northern Michigan and the Upper Peninsula, where Trump’s level of support from four years ago was virtually unchanged at 58.6%. But Biden got 40% to Clinton’s 36%. The difference? Third parties.
For instance, look at East Bay Township Precinct 1 in Grand Traverse County. Four years ago, Trump won among the 1,182 votes there 53%-40%, with 6% split between Johnson and Stein. This year, 1,311 voters cast ballots, and it was Trump 49.4% to 49.1% for Biden. That left about 1.5% for the third party candidates.
That played out in other areas all over the state.
“It’s a huge reason we got the vote that we did, when you’re talking about the numbers of third party votes we had in ’16,” Dulio said. “It’s back to more typical levels this year.”
From one standpoint, Biden didn’t overachieve: Where Trump in 2016 flipped a dozen counties from blue to red, Biden flipped only three. Only one of them Saginaw was among those Trump flipped four years ago, and even then, Biden won it by only three-tenths of 1%. Biden was alsoable to flip Kent and Leelanau, though, two more traditionally Republican counties .
The Personal Is Political
If you were to go searching for the molten core of Joe Bidens politics, you could do worse than this passage from his book Promise Me, Dad:
My old friend Tip ONeill, the twentieth centurys most colorful and successful Speaker of the House, famously said, All politics is local. Ive been around long enough to presume to improve on that statement. I believe all politics is personal, because at bottom, politics depends on trust, and unless you can establish a personal relationship, its awfully hard to build trust.
This is the core of Bidenism. Its also the core problem of it. As his many critics have pointed out myself included the relational politics that defined the Senate decades ago have fallen before the structural polarization of modern American politics. Biden often seemed caged by his affection for the Senate of yore, musing proudly of the deals he cut with segregationist senators like Mississippis James Eastland. But that Senate, for better and for much, much worse, was a product of the mixed political parties of the past. Its gone now.
As Biden wrote, personal relationships build trust. And trust builds a foundation upon which negotiation and compromise the core work of politics, as Biden sees it is possible. And so the Biden-Sanders relationship birthed the Biden-Sanders task forces, which was, to my eyes, the most impressive and interesting decision of Bidens campaign.
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