Biden Still Has A Higher Average Approval Rating Than Trump Ever Did But Warning Signs Abound
President Biden continues to hold a higher approval rating than former President Donald Trump ever recorded in office, polls show. But the public’s support for the new president appears to be weakening as his agenda has stalled in Congress.
A Gallup survey released last week found that 56 percent of U.S. adults surveyed said they approve of the job Biden is doing as president, while 42 percent disapprove. That approval rating is 1 point lower than the 57 percent who approved of Biden’s job performance in January and April, and it is still 7 points higher than Trump’s approval rating high-water mark during his term of office: 49 percent.
Yet an examination of aggregate polling numbers shows that Biden’s popularity with voters may be beginning to slip. Overall, 51.6 percent of Americans approve of the job Biden is doing, while 42.6 disapprove, according to the polling analysis website FiveThirtyEight, which weights surveys based on recency and historical accuracy. That 9-point gap between approval and disapproval is the lowest gap since Biden took office.
Accompanying the release last week of a Monmouth University poll that found Biden’s approval rating had fallen 6 points over the last two months from 54 percent in April to 48 percent in June Patrick Murray, director of Monmouth University Polling Institute, attributed the fall to the president’s inability to push his legislative priorities through an evenly divided Senate.
Polls Put Trumps Approval Rating Lower
Despite the recent decline in Biden’s approval, Trump’s ratings were lower during his time in office.
“Biden’s approval rating has clearly taken a turn for the worse in the past several weeks, but he is still faring better than Trump at this point in their presidencies,” Burden said. “Trump had one of the lowest and steadiest approval ratings of any modern president.”
FiveThirtyEight put the polling average for Trump’s approval rating at 38.8% on Sept. 9, 2017, his first year in office. The lowest point of his term came on Dec. 16, 2017, with an average approval rate of 36.4%.
This claim is also wrong looking only at the YouGov poll.
YouGov reported Trumps approval rating never increased far above 40% and reached a term low of 34% in a poll conducted Nov. 10-14, 2017.
In other words, Trump’s low is well below Biden’s current level in YouGov polling.
Real Clear Politics Trump Approval Rating: 408 Percent
In mid-September, Real Clear Politicswhich tracks numerous polls to find an averagefound the president to have a 40.8 percent approval rating, compared to 53.6 percent who disapproved of him.
The number was a downturn for Trump, who Real Clear Politics found had a 42.9 percent approval rating in mid-July, a notch higher than his 42.4 percent approval rating the month before.
The website found that the presidents approval rating has been declining since late August, amid criticism of his handling of Sen. John McCains death and guilty pleas by his former lawyer Michael Cohen and former campaign chairman Paul Manafort.
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Trump Had Lowest Average Approval Rating In Gallup History Yes Worse Than Nixon
Outgoing president averaged 41% job approval in office, a record low by four points
President Donald Trump is leaving the White House on a low note, with Gallup on Tuesday announcing hes ending his one term in office with a 34% approval rating. That ties him with Jimmy Carter and George W. Bush for the second-lowest Gallup approval rating as a president leaves office Harry Truman, with a 32% approval rating, still holds the crown when it comes to worst approval rating ever at the end of a presidency.
But whats worse is that Trump has averaged only 41% in job approval during his presidency which Gallup said is the worst of any president since the polling group began tracking approval under John F. Kennedy. In fact, Trumps average approval is four points lower than any other modern presidents including Richard Nixon.
Compounding matters, President Trump, following the recent attack on the U.S. Capitol by some of his supporters, set a new low for his job approval rating right as he was leaving office, which is fairly rare.
Though many presidents left office with weak job approval ratings, Trump is the second, along with Richard Nixon, to register his personal low rating in the final measurement of his presidency, Gallup noted. Nixon resigned his office amid the Watergate scandal.
Bidens Approval Rating Is Trumps In Reverse
Support from a slim majority might be all President Biden can expect and maybe its all he needs.
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President Biden entered the White House last month with a broadly positive approval rating but well shy of the two-thirds of Americans who expressed support for his former boss, Barack Obama, when he took office 12 years ago.
In fact, Bidens net approval rating is lower than that of any incoming president since the dawn of modern polling, except for his predecessor, Donald Trump. Its just another clear sign that weve entered a new era of partisanship: Media fragmentation and the hard-line politics it has helped foster may make it impossible for any leader to become a true consensus figure.
But it also bears noting that Bidens approval rating is basically a reverse image of Trumps. In addition to being loathed by Republicans and embraced by Democrats, hes firmly in positive territory among independents who had consistently disapproved of Trumps performance.
A Monmouth University poll out last week found that 54 percent of Americans gave Bidens performance positive marks, including nine in 10 Democrats and a plurality of independents, who approved by a 17-percentage-point margin . But among Republicans, his numbers were upside down. Just 15 percent approved, and 70 percent disapproved.
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Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Friday, October 08, 2021
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll, sponsored by The ANTIFA by Jack Posobiec, for Friday shows that 43% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Bidens job performance. Fifty-six percent disapprove.
The latest figures include 23% who Strongly Approve of the job Biden is doing and 47% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -24.
Regular updates are posted Monday through Friday at 9:30 a.m. Eastern .
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Now that Gallup has quit the field, Rasmussen Reports is the only nationally recognized public opinion firm that still tracks President Biden’s job approval ratings on a daily basis. If your organization is interested in a weekly or longer sponsorship of Rasmussen Reports’ Daily Presidential Tracking Poll, please send e-mail to.
Roughly Half Of Americans Approve Of What Biden Has Done So Far
About half of Americans 49 percent said they approve of how Biden has served as president so far, less than two months into his presidency, according to the latest poll. But as was the case with his predecessor, whose last year in office was marred by the pandemic, much of that support comes from people who identify as members of his own party. Among Democrats, Bidens approval rating was 87 percent. But only 11 percent of Republicans and43 percent of independents said they approved of the president.
Chart by Megan McGrew/PBS NewsHour
Another 42 percent of Americans disapprove of what Biden has done so far as president, including 81 percent of Republicans and 43 percent of independents.
Still, Biden currently has a higher job approval rating than former President Donald Trump ever reached during his four years in the White House, according to Marist polling data. And support for Biden seems to be growing. In this latest poll, 52 percent of Americans said they had a favorable impression of him. Thats up from 41 percent in October 2019 in the midst of Trumps first impeachment. Since then, Biden has inched up in favorability.
Republicans in Congress face steeper job disapproval, with 64 percent of Americans saying they do not like what they are seeing, an increase of 6 percentage points over January 2019, including 38 percent of Republicans and 85 percent of Democrats.
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Gallup Trump Approval Rating: 40 Percent
Gallup, which tracks the presidents approval and disapproval ratings weekly, found that 40 percent of those polled approved of Trumps time in office. The pollster found that the presidents disapproval rating was 54 percent.
The figure is a sharp decline from mid-June, when the president was found to have a 45 percent approval rating. Since then, he has hovered in the mid-to-low 40s, according to their weekly poll, with one week in August reaching 39 percent.
Approval Index1500 Likely Voters +/
Some readers wonder how we come up with our job approval ratings for the president since they often dont show as dramatic a change as some other pollsters do. It depends on how you ask the question and whom you ask.
To get a sense of longer-term job approval trends for the president, Rasmussen Reports compiles our tracking data on a full month-by-month basis.
Rasmussen Reports has been a pioneer in the use of automated telephone polling techniques, but many other firms still utilize their own operator-assisted technology .
Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.
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American voters are steadily losing confidence in President Biden, whose approval rating has hit a new low since he took office while former President Donald Trumps approval rating is on the rise.
According to a new poll released by Gallup on Wednesday, only 43 percent of Americans approve of the way Biden is handling his job as president, dropping from 49 percent in August.
The poll, which surveyed 1,005 adults across the nation from Sept. 1 to 17, found that 53 percent of respondents disapprove of Bidens job.
Bidens approval rating has been in free fall for several months, while his disapproval is growing. In June, Gallup found approval to be around 56 percent with disapproval at 42 percent.
His approval is down 14 points since he took office in January.
Overall, American voters are largely dissatisfied with how the country is being governed, with 69 percent saying they disapprove and only 30 percent approving.
Wednesdays poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
As disapproval grows, Trump is seeing a rise in his own approval rating, overtaking Biden by approximately 2 percentage points, a separate poll found.
Forty-eight percent of American voters were found to have a positive view of Trump, while only 46 percent said they favored Biden, according to a Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey .
Polling Average Put Biden’s Approval Rating Higher Than 39%
Experts say approval ratings should be calculated by looking at an average between polls not a single poll. On the day the claim was made, the polling average for Biden’s approval rating was 45.2%.
“The best practice to look at multiple polls and not to fixate on an individual poll, which can be cherry-picked to make inaccurate arguments,” Barry Burden, director of the Elections Research Center and professor of political science at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, said in an email.
The website FiveThirtyEight rates how different polls vary in terms of accuracy and statistical bias. It calculates approval ratings for presidents based on a weighted average that takes into account poll quality and uncertainty.
According to that polling average, Biden’s approval rate was 45.2% on the day the claim was posted.
The Facebook post appeared to refer to an Economist/YouGov poll conducted Sept. 4-7. It reported 39% of American adults approved of Biden. YouGov noted this was the first time the majority of Americans disapproved of Biden during his presidency.
However, Burden told USA TODAY this poll was “unusually low.”
“In the last month YouGov has also reported approval ratings of 44% and 50%,” he said. “Taken as a group it is more accurate to say that Biden’s rating is hovering in the mid-40s.”
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