Nbc News Poll: Steve Kornacki Breaks Down Bidens Approval Rating
Its the first time since July 2019 when party supporters have outnumbered Trump supporters in our poll, and its also the first time that party supporters have reached 50 percent on this question.
Strikingly, these numbers are coming as the perception of Trumps pull within his party couldnt be stronger.
GOP politicians are still trekking to Mar-A-Lago. Theyre clamoring for his endorsement. And House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy continues to hug Trump, even after what happened on Jan. 6.
But close to 100 days after leaving office, Trumps standing nationally as well within his own party is weaker today than it was three months ago.
Now we know what youre probably thinking: Since the 2020 polls understated Trumps support, isnt this poll maybe also understating his current support?
And you could be right.
But say you improved his favorable/unfavorable score by 5 points in both directions to 37 percent positive, 50 percent negative.
Thats still a rough set of numbers for someone many Republicans continue to view as the leader of their party.
Here are some other numbers to chew on from our new NBC News poll: There is a significant difference in political attitudes between those who consume conservative media and those who consume everything else.
Percentage with very positive view of Trump
- All adults: 21 percent.
- Conservative media diet: 46 percent.
- Liberal media diet : 8 percent.
- Social media : 21 percent.
- Print, broadcast TV, local news : 11 percent.
While I Still Dont Believe Most Of These Polls Due To Weighted Respondents The Numbers Represented In This Report Are Staggering
36 percent of blacks approve of the president. That number is staggering, to say the least. Undoubtedly the highest support of a Republican president from blacks since Eisenhower.
And while the black vote is bad, understand what the rest of the report reveals.
44 percent of Independents, 23 percent of Democrats? Holy Mother of Mayhem, this news destroys Democrats chances of winning a student body presidency, much less defeating the best president in modern history.
In my next post, I will reveal yet again how Democrats had no chance of beating Trump on their best day. But more importantly, how their recent actions destroyed any hopes they may have had.
Polls Put Trumps Approval Rating Lower
Despite the recent decline in Biden’s approval, Trump’s ratings were lower during his time in office.
“Biden’s approval rating has clearly taken a turn for the worse in the past several weeks, but he is still faring better than Trump at this point in their presidencies,” Burden said. “Trump had one of the lowest and steadiest approval ratings of any modern president.”
FiveThirtyEight put the polling average for Trump’s approval rating at 38.8% on Sept. 9, 2017, his first year in office. The lowest point of his term came on Dec. 16, 2017, with an average approval rate of 36.4%.
This claim is also wrong looking only at the YouGov poll.
YouGov reported Trumps approval rating never increased far above 40% and reached a term low of 34% in a poll conducted Nov. 10-14, 2017.
In other words, Trump’s low is well below Biden’s current level in YouGov polling.
Read Also: Who Is Running Against Trump Democrat
Which States Will Decide This Election
As Mrs Clinton discovered in 2016, the number of votes you win is less important than where you win them.
Most states nearly always vote the same way, meaning that in reality there are just a handful of states where both candidates stand a chance of winning. These are the places where the election will be won and lost and are known as battleground states.
In the electoral college system the US uses to elect its president, each state is given a number of votes based on how many members it sends to Congress – House and Senate. A total of 538 electoral college votes are up for grabs, so a candidate needs to hit 270 to win.
As the map above shows, some battleground states have a lot more electoral college votes on offer than others so candidates often spend a lot more time campaigning in them.
Voters Prefer Biden Over Trump On Almost All Major Issues Poll Shows
Joe Biden leads President Trump, 50 percent to 41 percent, a New York Times/Siena College poll shows, with voters favoring him by wide margins on the coronavirus and law and order.
THE NEW YORK TIMES /
Based on a New York Times/Siena
College poll of 987 likely voters
from Oct. 15 to 18.
THE NEW YORK TIMES / SIENA COLLEGE POLL
Based on a New York Times/Siena College poll of
987 likely voters from Oct. 15 to 18.
Joseph R. Biden Jr.
Based on a New York Times/Siena College poll
of 987 likely voters from Oct. 15 to 18.
Joseph R. Biden Jr.
Joseph R. Biden Jr. holds a nine-point lead over President Trump amid widespread public alarm about the trajectory of the coronavirus pandemic and demand among voters for large-scale government action to right the economy, according to a national poll of likely voters conducted by The New York Times and Siena College.
With just two weeks left in the campaign, Mr. Trump does not hold an edge on any of the most pressing issues at stake in the election, leaving him with little room for a political recovery absent a calamitous misstep by Mr. Biden, the Democratic nominee, in the coming days. The president has even lost his longstanding advantage on economic matters: Voters are now evenly split on whether they have more trust in him or Mr. Biden to manage the economy.
A majority of voters said they saw Mr. Trump unfavorably, with 48 percent viewing him very unfavorably.
The New York Times /
The New York Times /Siena College poll
Read Also: When Did Trump Become A Republican
Pandemic Surge Damages Trump Boosting Biden’s White House Bid: Poll
Public preference for Biden in trust to handle the pandemic has soared.
Timeline: Trumps response to the coronavirus pandemic
Public preference for Joe Biden over Donald Trump in trust to handle the coronavirus pandemic has soared since March in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, boosting Biden along with other measures in the race for the White House.
Three and a half months ago the two candidates were virtually even in trust to handle the pandemic, Trump +2 percentage points, 45-43%. Today, with COVID-19 cases surging around the nation, Biden leads Trump on the issue by a 20-point margin, 54-34%.
Bidens also advanced, nearly to par with Trump, in trust to handle the economy, after trailing in March. Biden leads Trump by 9 points on handling crime and safety, a focal point of Trumps in recent weeks. And on race relations, Biden leads by his largest margin, 25 points, 58-33%.
Biden has his own risks, particularly a pronounced lack of enthusiasm for his candidacy. Yet the impact of that deficit remains to be seen: For two-thirds of his supporters, its chiefly not about electing Biden, but about defeating Trump.
Sixty-one percent say Trump has done more to divide than to unite the country, more than said so about either of his two predecessors in office. When asked which candidates would do more to unite Americans, Biden leads by another wide margin, 57-33%.
Who Won The Presidential Debates
Donald Trump and Joe Biden went head-to-head in two live TV debates.
The first, on 29 September, was a chaotic affair, with Mr Trump’s combative approach stamping out any chance of a real debate.
A CBS News/YouGov poll taken straight afterwards suggested it was a good night for Mr Biden.
Of those who watched, 48% said Mr Biden was the winner while 41% went for Mr Trump – a similar split to national polling averages. Nearly 70% of people said the debate made them feel “annoyed”.
In the second debate, on 22 October, organisers introduced a mute button to help police the arguments.
But it was a much more restrained President Trump on show and there was a much greater focus on the policies of the two candidates.
While that seemed to help Mr Trump somewhat, snap polls still suggested viewers thought Mr Biden’s performance was more impressive.
A CNN poll found 53% of viewers thought the Democrat had done a better job in the debate, while 39% went with Mr Trump.
A YouGov snap poll was similar, with 54% saying Mr Biden had won compared to 35% for the president.
So while Mr Trump put in a better performance, it’s unlikely to have been enough to change the balance of the race on its own.
Read Also: How Can I Talk To Trump
The Science Of Ranking Us Presidents
Is Barack Obama really the worst president since World War II? The Quinnipiac Poll announced just that result recently. There were thereafter a number of pushbacks from that conclusion, most based on the fact that such an open-end question reflects a “recency bias” in that Americans think about the presidents who are most top-of-mind.
Gallup https://news.gallup.com/poll/116677/Presidential-Approval-Ratings-Gallup-Historical-Statistics-Trends.aspxGallup World Headquarters, 901 F Street, Washington, D.C., 20001, U.S.A +1 202.715.3030
Bidens Poll Numbers Slide Yet Again
By: Dovonan Corzo, Mixed Texan Politics
Its time for an update on Bidens poll numbers. It has been a long and disastrous first year of the Biden regime with soaring gas prices, rising inflation a major crisis at the border, and tyrannical vaccine mandates. Joe was elected on the notion he was a unifier and that he would shut down the virus, although more people have died from Covid under his watch than Trumps.
A recent USA Today/Suffolk poll has Biden at a 37.8% approval rating and 59% disapproval among. Not surprisingly but yet encouraging, it also shows that if the midterms were held today, Republicans would defeat Democrats 46-38%.
Our great Vice President in name only is doing much worse as only 28% give her a thumbs up compared to 51% who disapprove of the job she is doing among those who were surveyed. She is such an unlikeable person, goodness. I wonder if she will be laughing
To make matters worse, 64% said they dont want to see Biden run again and 46% feel he has done a worse job than expected. That includes 28% of Democrats and Independents by a whopping 7-1 margin, ouch. If the presidential election were held today, Donald Trump would beat Biden 44-40%.
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What Would Make You Change Your Mind About Donald J Trump
When Michael Tesler, a political scientist at the University of California Irvine, tries to explain the amazing stability of Trumps approval in his classes, he starts with a question. He asks his students if theres anything Trump could do to make them support him. And hes invariably met by a sea of shaking heads. If you went into Trumps presidency thinking hes a racist, sexist, xenophobic, immoral, narcissistic, corrupt, and incompetent person beliefs held by most Clinton voters then theres literally almost nothing he could do to change your mind, says Tesler.
The same is true in reverse. If you see Trump as the protector of Western Civilization, as Charlie Kirk called him the other night at the RNC, or the protector of white America, as Desmond King and Rogers Smith have called him, defending cherished American values from atheist, left-wing socialists who want to take your guns and put Cory Booker in charge of diversifying your neighborhoods, then theres almost nothing that would make you abandon him, Tesler continues.
But how do we know if were being governed with a bare level of competence?
Trumps Poll Numbers Are Collapsing But Where Will They Be In November
President Trump is collapsing in the polls. His approval rating is in the low 40s and dropping. Nationally, hes running behind Biden by nine points, according to FiveThirtyEight.coms average or by as much as 14 points in the latest Siena College/New York Times poll. Hes losing in key battleground states as well Biden has substantial leads in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan, among other places.
If the election were held tomorrow, Trump would almost certainly lose.
But the election is not being held tomorrow. And a whole lot can happen in the next four and a half months.
Early polling was not indicative of what happened in 1976 or of 1968. It was not indicative of 1980 or 1992 or 2016, said Frank Luntz, a longtime pollster who has worked for Newt Gingrich and Pat Buchanan, among other clients. There have been so many cases where the numbers changed in the last days. What early polling does is tell us where were headed but not where well end up.
Consider the Gallup general election poll that gave Michael Dukakis a 17-point lead over George H.W. Bush in late July 1988. That lead evaporated over the months that followed and he was defeated in November.
My advice to any candidate is dont count on the polls, Dukakis told me when I called him last week. Go out and organize in every one of the 50 states and take nothing for granted and keep driving and driving until election day.
So yeah, Democrats shouldnât get complacent.
Also Check: How Much Of Trump’s Wall Has Been Built
Data Download: The Numbers You Need To Know Today
58 percent: The share of Americans who say their bigger concern is making sure that everyone who wants to vote can do so, per new NBC News poll.
38 percent: The share who say their bigger concern is making sure that no one votes who is not eligible to vote.
1.6 million: The number of valid signatures collected by backers of the recall election against California Gov. Gavin Newsom, per the secretary of states office.
$400 million: How much the recall election could cost, according to the California Association of Clerks and Election Officials.
$15 an hour: The new minimum wage for federal contractors, starting in January, under an executive order that President Biden is set to sign.
89: The number of people New York fell short by in its count to retain one of its House seats.
32,276,517: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in the United States, per the most recent data from NBC News and health officials.
576,763: The number of deaths in the United States from the virus so far, per the most recent data from NBC News. (Thats 474 more than yesterday morning.
230,768,454: The number of vaccine doses administered in the U.S.
26.5 percent: The share of Americans who are fully vaccinated
2: The number of days left for Biden to reach his 100-day vaccination goal.
Sahil Kapur notes that Bidens first 100 days have been shaped in some ways by the first 100 days of his Democratic predecessor.
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