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Over half of whites , and clear majorities of Black Americans and Hispanics , disapprove.
Meanwhile, less than one-third of the country believes that sending federal officers to respond to demonstrations in cities makes the situation better.
A slight majority view the response as exacerbating the situation, and 19% say it doesn’t have an effect either way.
Even among Americans who are supposed to be Trump loyalists, only 42% of white non-college educated Americans say that the presence of federal agents improves the situation. Over a third of this demographic see the move as making the situation worse.
The new poll comes after the president made a hard pivot back to pushing for an unproven treatment for the virus, hydroxychloroquine, against the advice of top health experts — after appearing to break from months of downplaying the virus’s severity by encouraging the country to wear masks and practice social distancing last week.
Young Americans Are Significantly More Likely To Be Politically Engaged Than They Were A Decade Ago A Sharp Increase In Progressive Political Values Marked Since 2016
Less than one year after Barack Obamas election, 24% of young Americans considered themselves to be politically active . Twelve years later, we find the share of politically active Americans increased by half and now 36% are politically active. The most politically active among this cohort are young Blacks .
Over the last five years, on a host of issues ranging from health care, to climate, immigration, poverty, and affirmative action–young Americans are increasingly more likely to favor government intervention. For example, we found:
- A 19-point increase in agreement with the statement Qualified minorities should be given special preferences in hiring and education .
- An 18-point increase in agreement with the statement Government should do more to curb climate change, even at the expense of economic growth .
- A 16-point increase since 2016 in agreement with The government should spend more to reduce poverty .
- A 16-point increase in Basic health insurance is a right for all people, and if someone has no means of paying for it, the government should provide it .
- An 8-point increase in agreement with Recent immigration into this country has done more good than harm .
With Partisanship Rising Three
Over the last decade, the number of young Americans who see politics as partisan, and politicians as selfish, has risen sharply. Seventy-six percent of youth agreed with the statement, We need more open-mindedness in politics, only 4% disagreed.
- 68% agreed with the statement, Elected officials seem to be motivated by selfish reasons. This marks a 14-point increase since 2010.
- 56% agreed with the statement, Politics has become too partisan — a 10-point increase since 2010.
Question10 Overall Do You Think Donald Trump Has Had A Mainly Positive Or Mainly Negative Impact On
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoPositive 43% 85% 7% 46% 47% 38% 36% 53%Negative 49 9 88 46 44 55 60 37DK/NA 8 6 5 8 9 7 4 10 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspPositive 38% 39% 47% 47% 54% 42% 48% 12% 52%Negative 50 53 46 49 39 50 45 85 39DK/NA 12 8 6 3 7 8 8 4 10
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For more than two months, Trump’s approval for his response to the outbreak has been underwater, with disapproval consistently hovering in a narrow band from 57% to 60% since the end of April.
Since ABC News/Ipsos began polling on the coronavirus in mid-March, Trump’s approval has mostly held steady, except for one week in March, when it was above water, at 55%, and his disapproval landed at 43%. The new poll was conducted by Ipsos in partnership with ABC News using Ipsos’ Knowledge Panel.
Despite the low marks, the president moved forward with his first in-person rally since March, which he said he viewed as the relaunch of his reelection campaign that was ground to a halt by the deadly virus.
Throughout the rally inside the BOK Center, where social distancing guidelines were not followed, Trump frequently brought up the coronavirus, giving himself high praise for his administration’s response to the crisis.
“COVID-19,” Trump said, “that name gets further and further away from China as opposed to calling it the Chinese virus. And despite the fact that we — I have done a phenomenal job with it. … We saved hundreds of thousands of lives, and all we do is get hit on like we’re terrible.”
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Congress & Supreme Court
Americans give Republicans in Congress a negative 23 – 68 percent job approval rating, which is a new high on disapproval during Biden’s presidency in a Quinnipiac University poll.
Americans give Democrats in Congress a negative 30 – 63 percent job approval rating.
Americans give the Supreme Court a negative 37 – 56 percent job approval rating. Registered voters give the Supreme Court a negative 39 – 55 percent job approval rating, which is the highest disapproval among registered voters since Quinnipiac University began asking the question in 2004.
“Americans send a message that echoes through the High Court and the Halls of Congress: You are not getting the job done. The Republicans hit a new high on disapproval, the Democrats fare little better, and SCOTUS is met with unprecedented disapproval,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
The Sample And Margin Of Error
Pollsters cant realistically contact every American adult throughout the country and ask their opinion on a given issue. Instead, they try to contact a representative sampleusually anywhere between 1,000 and 2,000 individualsthat accurately represents the countrys population as a whole. Pollsters, with the help of statisticians, demographers, and data experts, use a variety of techniques to create a representative sample. This typically involves using probability formulas and algorithms to ensure random sampling and to increase the likelihood of contacting an accurate cross-section of the U.S. adult population. Some pollsters also create panels of respondents that they believe reflect the actual population and poll them repeatedly over a span of time. These polls are usually called tracking polls. Oftentimes, pollsters weigh their respondents to account for various demographic measurements. For example, a pollster might weigh more heavily the responses from a specific demographic group if that group was poorly represented in the random sample in relation to the countrys estimated demographic composition. The same might be done if a group appears to be overrepresented.
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Question4 If The Election Were Today Would You Want To See The Republican Party Or The Democratic Party Win Control Of The United States House Of Representatives
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoRepublican Party 44% 90% 3% 44% 50% 37% 43% 55%Democratic Party 43 5 94 35 34 52 52 33DK/NA 13 4 3 20 15 11 6 11 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspRepublican Party 37% 39% 50% 50% 57% 45% 51% 11% 42%Democratic Party 44 49 40 43 31 47 40 78 40DK/NA 18 12 10 7 12 8 10 10 18
To The 46% Who Approve Of Trump: What Are You Thinking
Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, takes the podium to speaks about the coronavirus in the Rose Garden of the White House, Monday, March 30, 2020, in Washington, as President Donald Trump listens. AP
After President Trump set off a wave of calls to emergency poison lines on Thursday by suggesting that people could protect themselves against Covid-19 by drinking disinfectant, something in me snapped.
I have a question for the 46 percent of Americans who approve of his job performance: Do you think maybe your standards are a bit too low?
Our presidents ramblings on Thursday were the stuff you hear from a slobbering drunk at the dark end of the bar. It was beyond painful to watch his earth-based health advisors stare at their shoes in horror, as he went on and on, deeper into the abyss.
After three years of Trump, we are all a bit numb, I get that. As a mental health strategy, many of us try to limit our exposure.
But people, watch some of Thursdays show. Our president is hanging on by a thin thread, and thats something that grown-ups in a democracy need to talk about between now and November. The man is unhinged.
Lets go to the transcript, which starts with Dr. Trump describing his inspired plan to kill the virus by shining ultraviolet light inside the body, then moving to the upside of drinking Lysol:
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It also comes amid the backdrop of clashes in Portland, Oregon, where the president dispatched federal agents into the city to halt the nightly protests that were sparked two months ago by the death of George Floyd at the hands of police in Minneapolis in May. On Wednesday, Oregon Gov. Kate Brown said that she was assured that officers would begin a phased withdrawal from the city — an announcement that Trump appeared to contradict by Thursday morning, arguing that the officers would only leave once “safety” was restored.
His disapproval on his handling of relations with Russia, in particular, comes at a precarious time for the president, who has dismissed U.S. intelligence that indicates Russia paid the Taliban to kill American troops in Afghanistan.
Trump, in an interview with Axios earlier this week, said he “never discussed” the matter in a July 23 phone call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, and when pressed on why he didn’t raise it, he said, “That was a phone call to discuss other things and frankly that’s an issue that many people said was fake news.”
This ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted by Ipsos Public Affairsâ KnowledgePanelÂ® July 29-30, 2020, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 730 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 4.0 points, including the design effect. See the pollâs topline results and details on the methodology here.
How Trumps Second Impeachment Will Work
To be sure, the national polls underestimated Trumps performance in the national election, which he lost by 4 percentage points after trailing in the RealClearPolitics average by 7 points and the FiveThirtyEight average by 8 points.
But the latest polls conducted over the past week all show significant drops in support for Trump from the previous measurements with one notable exception: Rasmussen Reports. The Republican-leaning automated pollster, which has typically produced stronger results for Trump, has shown that the presidents approval ratings have been virtually unaffected by last weeks events.
Trumps final approval rating is far from settled, given the congressional sprint to impeach him in the closing week of his presidency. But he is poised to go down as one of the most unpopular presidents upon leaving office.
Barack Obamas approval rating rose in the final weeks of his presidency, following Trumps upset victory in the 2016 election. According to theRealClearPolitics average, Obamas approval rating finished at 57 percent, rising about 5 points between the election and Trumps inauguration in January 2017.
Trump is likely to finish closer to Bushs final ratings: 34 percent in the finalGallup poll the best historical record for modern presidential approval and 29 percent in the closingRealClearPolitics average.
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Do Americans Support Removing Trump From Office
An updating average of support for and opposition to removing Trump from office before the end of his term, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency and sample size
We collected all the polls we could find that asked some version of a yes-or-no question about whether respondents supported removing Trump from office, though some polls also offered a dont know or no opinion option. If the same poll asked more than one removal question , we included both questions, but the results of those questions were averaged together, then input into the model, so the poll was not double counted.
Wednesday evening, the House passed its second resolution aimed at removing President Trump from office. But as FiveThirtyEight’s Perry Bacon Jr. wrote, it was still a largely partisan affair, with only 10 Republicans joining the latest rebuke of the president. What happens next is, in many ways, anyones guess, but it doesnt seem as if well have an answer before Joe Bidens inauguration next week. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is reported to believe that Trump has committed impeachable offenses, but McConnell has indicated that he thinks no final verdict will be reached in the impeachment trial until after Trump leaves office. Welcome, in other words, to the limbo period in the 2021 impeachment process.
Exploring Trump’s Approval Dip And Rebound
Head of Election Polling at SurveyMonkey
Which demographic groups have changed their assessments most? And what explains the change? Pollsters get these questions a lot. In this case, the shifts in Trumps approval, while real and detected by other polls, have been glacial. The Americans most likely to shift their opinions tend to be those least engaged in politics, and explanations of the trends depend mostly on inferences derived from their timing.
Lets take a closer look. SurveyMonkeys latest weekly national tracking poll, , shows Trumps approval number ticking up to 46 percent overall. While relatively stable the last two weeks , Trumps approval rating was slightly but consistently lower in interviews conducted during the three-week period from March 17 to April 6.
That slight dip in March represented the lowest ebb so far in Trumps presidency. Prior to that, our tracking of Trumps ratings varied between 44 and 48 percent essentially where they are now. So while the dip in late March was real and not statistical noise, it was small.
What explains the recent trends in Trump approval? While we do not routinely probe Americans to explain why opinion of the President may be changing, we do track the issue that Americans tell us matters most, and the trend in that question is helpful in explaining the recent patterns.
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Abortion A Contentious Issue
Abortion is at the forefront of national conversation as a draft Supreme Court opinionwas leaked that suggests the conservative majority may overturn a court case that ruled that people have a constitutional right to obtain an abortion.
Among Tennesseans surveyed, 48 percent identified as pro-choice, and 50 percent identified as pro-life. Overall, 36 percent of respondents said abortion should be legal in all cases. Seventy percent of Democrats polled favored abortion being legal, while only 8 percent of Republicans prefer pro-choice legislation.
Overall, while there is a strong partisan divide on this issue, only a minority of Tennesseans, including Republicans, want to make all abortion illegal. There is strong support for having abortion be either completely legal or legal under some conditions, such as in cases of rape and incest and when the health of the mother is at stake.
Question18 Would You Like To See Donald Trump Run For President In 2024 Or Not
ADULTS..................................................... WHITE........ 4 YR COLL DEG Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes NoYes 32% 69% 4% 28% 38% 26% 21% 43%No 64 27 94 68 58 70 77 53DK/NA 4 5 2 4 4 4 3 4 AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE..... 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk HspYes 30% 28% 39% 31% 40% 31% 35% 10% 40%No 67 69 56 63 56 66 62 88 56DK/NA 3 3 5 6 4 3 3 3 4
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How Do Americans View Bidens Handling Of The Pandemic And The Economy
Most Americans think Biden is handling the coronavirus pandemic far better than Trump. Sixty-two percent approve of how Biden has managed the U.S. response so far. Another 30 percent say they disapprove.
Chart by Megan McGrew/PBS NewsHour
The publics approval of Bidens actions far exceeds that earned by Trumps leadership during the pandemic. His highest approval rating was 18 points lower, at 44 percent in March 2020, the same month the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 to be a pandemic and Trump labeled it a public health emergency. From there, his approval on handling the pandemic dropped as low as 37 percent, recovering slightly to 39 percent by the time he left office in January.
But Americans have less faith in Bidens ability to heal the nations wounded economy compared to Trump. While 46 percent of U.S. adults approve of how Biden has managed the economy, another 41 percent do not approve. During Trumps last days in office, half of Americans said they approved of the former presidents handling of the economy, a sentiment thatTrump leveraged throughout his presidency and in his 2020 campaign for a second term.
Keanu Adams, 25, of Vacaville, California, said he voted for Biden and hopes the president recognizes the country needs more than public health and economic fixes right now.
The nation needs to uproot systemic problems to address what is really wrong, Adams said.