Favorites To Win The 2024 Us Presidential Election
Shortly after the inauguration, Vice President Kamala Harris was atop the presidential odds board at +350, with Biden close behind at +400, and Trump in third place at +650.
Those odds have shifted massively and Trump is now leading the field as the 2024 U.S. presidential election favorite at +275 , followed closely by DeSantis at +300 . Biden has now dropped to third place at +600 , while Harris has plummeted all the way to fourth place at +1,400 .
Other presidential betting favorites for 2024 include governor of California Gavin Newsom Trump’s VP Mike Pence , and former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley and Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg, who are tied at +2,500 .
How To Bet On Donald Trump Odds
Unfortunately, you cant place a wager on Donald Trump odds or any political outcomes in Las Vegas or any other domestic US sportsbook. In order to make a wager on political outcomes, you must first join a recommended offshore sportsbook and deposit funds into your account via the following procedure:
- Navigate to the sportsbook and create an account. This will require the entry of data such as your name and address and the creation of a login and password.
- Deposit funds into your account. These sportsbooks all accept major credit cards and various other banking options, but the most preferred method and the one that features the biggest bonuses is Bitcoin. If you just want to browse the betting lines, then you can skip the deposit step and move on.
- To locate the political odds, just look for a section called Politics. Some books may list these under their Entertainment section, but most have dedicated election betting categories.
- If you see a line you like, place your wager ASAP. Of course, in order to do so, you must make a deposit first, as no offshore betting site extends lines of credit to their players. We recommend using Bitcoin or another supported cryptocurrency.
- Sit back and wait for the results to come in!
Aoc’s Odds Of Winning The 2024 Us Presidential Election
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has emerged as one of the brightest young stars of the Democratic Party but has seen her odds fall from +3,300 in the New Year to +5,000 in March and she has now plummeted all the way to +6,500 . AOC is currently serving as a member of the U.S. House of Representatives, representing New York’s 14th district.
The politically savvy 32-year-old has built a massive online following and will be turning the requisite age of presidential eligibility just before the 2024 election.
Her biggest obstacle may in fact be her own party, with her more progressive views likely to alienate some of her colleagues unless they soften over time.
She recently hit the news for criticizing the Biden administration for not doing more to help student debt. Meanwhile, Nancy Pelosi’s new book “This Will Not Pass” accuses Ocasio-Cortez and other progressives of vying to be “queen bee.” AOC could run the risk of being another Bernie Sanders if she can’t convince the moderates that she’s willing to make concessions on key issues.
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How Much Can I Win If I Bet On Trump 2024 Election Odds
Since Trump has low odds to win the 2024 presidency, huge payouts can be collected on him if he wins. Depending on the sportsbook, the odds that Trump will be elected in 2024 sit between +800 and +3300.
This means, at +800, a wager of $100 would earn $800, while at +3300, a $100 wager would earn $3300, depending on which sportsbook you choose to gamble with.
This huge gap in payout value is why it pays to belong to more than one sportsbook so you always have the opportunity to shop lines for the best odds possible.
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Is It Legal To Bet On Donald Trump Odds
Betting on Donald Trump political odds are legal if you do so through a respected international sportsbook operating legitimately online. It has long been the policy of Vegas sportsbooks to only accept wagers on sporting contests. Sportsbooks located in Las Vegas do not provide betting lines or odds on political outcomes or any other category that would fall under the realm of entertainment betting.
But not to worry! The best online sportsbooks all offer odds for entertainment and political betting and are perfectly legal thanks to the fact that federal law does not bar the use of sportsbooks located in other countries. Washington state has passed laws that forbid all forms of online gaming, but weve yet to see where anyone has faced prosecution for doing so. Still, if you live in WA, it is advised that your stick with the local mandates and refrain from online election betting.
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Joe Biden’s Odds Of Winning The 2024 Us Presidential Election
After briefly rebounding, President Biden’s approval rating has dropped back to 36% in the latest Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll, the worst number during his tenure as president.
Biden’s latest market prices on the Smarkets exchange give him just a 11.9% chance of being re-elected in 2024.
Despite healthy growth in the US job market and relatively low levels of unemployment, the Biden regime continues to face plenty of obstacles. Chief among them are surging inflation, high fuel prices, and global supply chains still hindered by the COVID-19 pandemic.
He’s also dealing with criticism from his Democrat base who feel like the party is losing key ground on issues like gun reform and abortion. With criticism from all sides, Biden might not even be the party nominee if the Democrats take a beating during the midterms.
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There could also be a financial reason to throw in the towel. Trump has been raising hundreds of millions on his big lie claims, which Cohen called a big grift. Cohen predicted that if Trump ran, he would be like the boy who cried wolf losing twice would cost him many donors belief that the same stolen election lightning had struck him twice and, with it, their financial support.
Under federal law, if he is formally running, his $103 million Save America PAC can contribute only $5,000 to his campaign. And the Republican National Committee has said that if he runs, it must stay neutral among Republicans and stop covering hefty legal bills related to a separate probe by the New York state attorney general.
Some savvy observers of the White House scene agree with Cohen. In April, Salon columnist Brian Karem came to the same conclusion, relying heavily on the last reason Trumps desire to keep raising money. That was also the primary reason Slate editor Jeremy Stahl cited last week in a provocative piece titled: Hear Me Out Trump Wont Run Again.
At the same time, Fulton County, Georgia, District Attorney Fani Willis grand jury is hearing from Trumps inner circle about his possible interference in Georgias 2020 presidential vote. And in February, the National Archives requested that the Justice Department look at whether Trumps handling of White House records broke federal law.
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Donald Trump Election Odds
There are a number of Trump betting odds at every major election betting site, and Trump 2024 is trending as one of the most popular political wagering markets. You can wager on his chances to win the 2024 GOP primary, his odds to win the 2024 general election, and more. We even suspect there will be Trump vs. DeSantis primary odds one of these days, which would be very interesting. Perhaps we’ll even get some Trump DeSantis 2024 odds for a truly superstar GOP ticket.
Trump Betting Odds Faqs
Donald John Trump was elected President of the United States on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He took office officially when he was sworn in on Friday, January 20, 2017.
Trump won the 2016 Presidential election by winning more electoral votes than his opponent, Hillary Clinton. The final tally was 304-227. While Clinton won the popular vote, she neglected to campaign in swing states and lost several that she thought was in the bag. Hillarys campaign was the most expensive in US history, while Trumps was the least expensive in several cycles.
The day Trump was elected on November 8, 2016, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 18,332.74. The next day, the Dow gained 312 points, closing at 18,613.52. As of May 15, 2020, the Dow sits at 23,649.76, due entirely to the effects of the coronavirus.
The odds of Trump winning in 2024 are not good, with his chances sitting between +800 and +3300 depending on the sportsbook you choose. Of course, that just means you can clean up bigly if he wins!
While many mainstream media pundits and Democratic politicians spent countless hours warning that Dictator Donald would use the coronavirus to declare martial law and cancel the November 2020 Presidential election, that did not happen. However, you could get odds on whether or not the election would be delayed by COVID-19 at some sportsbooks.
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What To Monitor: Polling Data
Polling data is fluid and changes over the course of an election period. In the early stages like now , candidates with the most name recognition tend to poll the strongest. Thats why on the Democratic side former VP Joe Biden and 2016 candidate Bernie Sanders were early polling front-runners.
As lower tier candidates who have difficulty fund-raising drop out of the race, and TV debates start crystallizing voter opinion, the numbers begin to consolidate around one-to-two front-runners heading into the primaries.
For simplicity purposes, monitor two well-respected polling aggregators:
- Real Clear Politics: Consolidates and links to the most respected polls.
- FiveThirtyEight Polls: Does the same but presents the information in a different way.
Can Donald Trump Run Again In 2024
Yes, Donald Trump can run for re-election in 2024.
Only Grover Cleveland has served two non-consecutive terms as president in US history, serving his first from 1885-1889 and his second from 1893-1897. Despite the fact that Trump just got the second-most votes for a presidential candidate in US history, there is one big reason why he may have an uphill climb to secure a third nomination from the Republican Party.
In June of 2024, Trump will turn 78 years old. That would make him the oldest major-party presidential candidate in US history, setting him up to be pushing 83 when his potential second term would end.
UK books currently favor Mike Pence, Nikki Haley, and Ivanka Trump to be the GOP nominee in 2024. Either Haley or Ivanka Trump would be the first female presidential nominee in the history of the Republican Party. Ivanka Trump would also be the first daughter of a president to receive such a nomination.
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The poll found that only 35 per cent of all voters wanted Mr Trump to stand as a presidential candidate, whereas 65 per cent did not want him to stand.
Among Republican voters, the majority want Mr Trump to re-run in the upcoming election, around seven in 10 are for the former president being in the race, with 69 per cent of red voters wanting him to stand versus 31 per cent who would rather have another candidate run for office.
Ron Desantis’ Odds Of Winning The 2024 Us Presidential Election
The biggest riser on the presidential election odds board is DeSantis, who was +6,600 a year ago, +550 at the start of July, and is now at +300 . The 43-year-old remains coy about whether he will run for President but has become a Republican firebrand figure for his laissez-faire policies during the COVID-19 pandemic and his enactment of the Stop WOKE Act.
In the annual Western Conservative Summits straw poll taken last month, 71% of participants said they wanted DeSantis to run for president in 2024, compared to 67% for Trump.
While in the past, Trump has suggested that DeSantis would be unlikely to run against him, things may have changed. DeSantis has now amassed more than $100 million in his fundraising coffers and has declined to ask Trump for a reelection endorsement in Florida.
With Trump having a history of handing out endorsements based on loyalty, DeSantis refusing to kiss the ring could be a sign that he’s seriously considering running against him.
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Yes Of Course Donald Trump Can Win In 2024
When I meet people and they find out I am a political reporter, they inevitably and immediately ask some version of this question: Is he going to run again? And can he win?
The he there just in case youve spent the last six years on another planet is Donald Trump.
And the answers to those questions are probably yes and definitely. As in, yes, Trump is probably going to run for president again in 2024. And, yes, he would have a very real chance of winning.
Lets take the second half of that question first. A new Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump and President Joe Biden each at 45% among registered voters in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, results that are largely unchanged since the last time WSJ asked the question in November.
The simple fact is that if the 2020 presidential race was re-run today, it would effectively be a pure toss up.
Which, if you think about it, makes sense. While Biden took more than 300 electoral votes, his margins in a series of swing states like Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania were decidedly narrow. And had those states gone for Trump, he would have almost certainly been reelected.
Now, that is putting the cart before the horse. So, lets return to the first question: Will Trump run?
If you believe him, then yes.
But, its true.
Donald Trump Coronavirus Update
The coronavirus scare has had more of an impact on Donald Trumps re-election odds than all of his scandals to date. This is attributable not to any action on the Presidents part, but is indicative of the old adage that Its the economy, stupid. Indeed, COVID-19 rocked the stock market, one of Trumps core strengths heading into November, and Trump lost the election. America is very nearly in a real recession right now, even under the Biden administration.
To put the virus impact into perspective, a few days before Trump declared a national emergency over the Wuhan coronavirus, he was sitting at -5000 to win the GOP primary, but he immediately dropped to -3000. Meanwhile, the odds of Trump winning the general election were at -140. Those odds fell to +100 or worse following the early days of the American lockdown.
Still, Trump had proved capable of weathering all storms, and many bettors thought he would do so again. As with the stock market, buy the dip! To read further into how the Coronavirus affected Trumps odds in 2020, see our Coronavirus Election Odds Impact page.
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How Could Legislation Help Trump Win In 2024
From just January to October 2021, 33 voter suppression laws were enacted across 19 states. Voter suppression efforts can look like enforcing stricter ID checks, making it harder to vote early or by mail, and restricting those convicted of felonies from voting.
Of such laws, Perry says, These, particularly, are thought to hurt the kinds of people who would tend to vote against Donald Trump. That would be minorities, people of color, people in poorer categories, and socioeconomic status.
Those communities turned out for Biden in unprecedented numbers during the 2020 election and were crucial to his victory. The passage of new voter suppression laws designed to disenfranchise these same communities, and Congresss failure to pass federal legislation protecting the right to vote, puts that support at risk.
Then theres the wave of election subversion bills. In 2021, lawmakers across the country introduced more than 180 bills that would shift election authority from the people to the legislators themselves. Says Perry, You have these new policies coming to the forefront among Republicans whereby the legislature would be allowed to review the popular will and be able to overturn it.
But the ramifications of this legislation extend beyond any one election cycle they stand to permanently diminish the voice of the people in U.S. democracy.
Will Hillary Clinton Run In 2024
How about a hypothetical?
Hillary Clinton has not announced her intentions to run for the presidency for a third time. Not yet. But lets say that she does decide to challenge and is put forward as the next Democrat nominee. Could third time be a charm?
With Biden and Harris looking about as happy as a pair of goths on a rollercoaster, Clintons name is beginning to resurface. The former secretary of state could step in as the Democrat nominee for 2024 if Biden does not have the full faith of the Dems.
First, what a political comeback that would be. The Democratic Party is not exactly squeaky clean when it comes to making wild choices. But is it really possible that Clinton could be given another crack at office?
If so, would she make the same kind of blunders that led to her loss to Trump the first time around?
Remember, the results of the 2016 election were put down to Clinton losing as much as Trump winning. That basket of deplorables quote certainly didnt help her cause.
On Sept. 9, 2016, Clinton took to change before Barbra Streisand at a swanky fundraising event in New York City at Cipriani restaurant. Everyone present knew what was to come she was expected to rouse up the donors watching from the wings and did so by claiming she was what stood between Democrats voters and the apocalypse.
Democrats tease Hillary Clinton 2024 Presidential run
New York Post
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