Both Joe Biden And Bernie Sanders Would Beat Donald Trump In A General Election New Poll Shows
According to a new poll, Democratic presidential candidates Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders would beat President Donald Trump in the general election.
The poll, which was conducted The Economist and YouGov, surveyed 1,500 U.S. adults from March 15 to March 17, and has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.
For the poll, the surveyed adults were asked who they would vote for if the Democratic nominee was Biden and the Republican nominee was Trump. About 48 percent of U.S. adults said they would vote for Biden, while 41 percent said they would vote for Trump. Meanwhile, 4 percent answered with “other,” 5 percent said “not sure,” and 2 percent said they would not vote.
In a nearly identical question, the poll asked the 1,500 adults who they would vote for if Sanders was the Democratic nominee against Trump. The results were similar as well, with 48 percent saying they would vote for Sanders and 41 percent saying they would vote for Trump. Additionally, 3 percent answered with “other,” 6 percent said, “not sure” and the remaining 2 percent said they wouldn’t vote.
Biden also had a dominant outing during the Democratic primaries on March 10, winning five out of the six states, compared to Sanders one state.
CORRECTION 12:56 p.m. ET: This story has been updated to correct Biden’s current delegate count to 1,184, from what was previously stated as 1,811.
Trump Can Absolutely Kill Him: Wall Street Shrugs Off Sanders
The finance world is treating the prospect of a President Sanders much like it generally dismissed a possible President Trump in 2016.
02/12/2020 12:36 PM EST
An avowed democratic socialist narrowly won the New Hampshire primary, propelled by promises to jack up taxes on the rich, nationalize health care and take a sledgehammer to the nations banking behemoths.
Wall Street has so far reacted to the rise of Sen. Bernie Sanders with a massive yawn because few in the industry think the Vermont senator has a real shot at becoming president.
Stocks continue to pop to new highs even as Sanders climbs the Democratic field and pledges to come after the wealthy with a zealous passion.
Thats because the overwhelming consensus on Wall Street these days is that should Sanders wind up as the Democratic nominee sliding past a handful of moderates also at the top of the field he would get demolished by President Donald Trump in the general election.
Theres no Bernie fear at all, because I think the general view is that he is just way too far left of a candidate to beat Trump and a more moderate candidate would be much more competitive, said Steve Massocca of Wedbush Equity Management. If Bernie becomes the candidate and you assume Wall Street wants Trump to win again and I think they do then this is nothing but good news.
There also remains some level of confidence across Wall Street that the eventual nominee will be someone not named Bernie Sanders.
Both Hillary Clinton And Bernie Sanders Could Beat Donald Trump Poll Says
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton leads Trump 52 percent to 44 percent among registered voters and Sen. Bernie Sanders leads Trump 55 percent to 43 percent,according to the poll.
These estimates line up with other polling data — HuffPost Pollster’s average has shown Clinton and Sanders polling higher than Trump, although prinmary poll matchups aren’t predictive of what will happen once the general election campaigns start.
But if Sens. Marco Rubio or Ted Cruz were nominated instead of Trump, Clinton might face more of an uphill battle, according to the poll — Rubio tops Clinton at 50 percent to 47 percent and Cruz slightly leads 49 percent to 48 percent.
Sanders, meanwhile, holds a steady lead over all top three Republican candidates in the poll– 57 percent to 40 percent against Cruz, 55 percent to 43 percent against Trump, and 53 percent to 45 percent against Rubio.
The independent senator is also viewed as the most favorable candidate in both parties, with 60 percent of registered voters holding a positive view of him, whereas the majority of voters view both Clinton and Trump unfavorably. However, Sanders hasn’t yet faced the scrutiny that he would face in a general election campaign.
Voters in 13 states and one U.S. territory head to the polls Tuesday to vote in primaries or caucuses.
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Donald Trump Vows In Cpac Speech To Campaign Against Joe Manchin Who He Claims Betrayed Him On Impeachment
Donald Trump tore into US Senator Joe Manchin during his speech from the Conservative Political Action Conference on Saturday, vowing to campaign against the West Virginia Democrat who he claimed was devastating the state by signing onto the Democrats budget and climate deal.
Ill go down and campaign against him as hard as anybody can, said Mr Trump, eliciting one of his biggest rounds of applause of the night.
The former president also claimed Mr Manchin, who isnt up for reelection until 2025, promised not to vote against him during the impeachment process.
I would never vote against you, youre a great president, Mr Trump recounted the senator saying.
Mr Manchin voted against Mr Trump during both of his impeachments.
The Independent has contacted Mr Manchin for comment.
Mr Trump also went after another moderate who had been seen as a potential obstacle to the Democratic social spending package, Kyrsten Sinema. In his speech, he implied he might attack her in her home state as well.
What happened to Manchin and Sinema? Mr Trump said. What happened? Were trying to figure out what the hell happened. Where did this new philosophy come from all of a sudden?
The Independent contacted the Arizona senator for comment.
But the former president didnt just attack Democrats.
The Independent has contacted Mr McConnell for comment.
I better damn win that straw poll, he said with a laugh, describing when he learned the results.
Sanders Does Not Have Backing Of The Democratic Establishment
And he often openly spars with them. Sen. Joe Manchin III , a prominent voice for the moderate wing of the party, refused to say if hed vote for Sanders if he were the nominee. Republicans are already trying to use Sanderss ideology against him and the Democratic Party. Heres Sen. Marco Rubio , who represents a state that could play a big role in deciding the presidency, trying to do as much.
Democratic Socialism sounds benign. Its not. Its built on Marxism.
Not helping his case is Sanders himself, who on Sunday praised former Cuban dictator Fidel Castro.
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Against A Historically Weak Gop Nominee Could A Democratic Socialist Have Actually Prevailed
In fact, Trump has turned out to be such a surprisingly weak candidate, it seems possible or even plausible that Bernie Sanders, had he won the Democratic nomination, might at this very minute be mentally measuring the drapes for the Oval Office if Sanders cared about such things. After all, as Sanderistas liked to point out during the primary, Bernie consistently beat Trump in hypothetical matchups by wider margins than Clinton.
So in the parallel world where Sanders beat Clinton and Trump still won the GOP nomination, would Bernie be crushing Trump? If the presidential race were a likability contest, almost certainly. But if it were just a geniality pageant, Sanders would probably have won the Democratic nomination.
But and here’s where things get tricky it’s not clear the anti-Trump vote would have been as big as it is today. Remember, Donald Trump is a natural performer. He can be affable and entertaining on camera and on stage. Most of his problems since the Republican National Convention have been of his own making, often with a big assist from Clinton, who has shown a remarkable ability to get under Trump’s skin.
The Reason Sanders Appears Equally Electable
These Bernie or bust voters that come off the sidelines for Sanders in our survey are almost entirely limited to one group: Democrats and independents under age 35. These voters are about 11 percentage points more likely to say they would vote for Democrats if Sanders is nominated and almost all of them say they would not vote at all or vote third party if hes not on the ballot.
However, the Bernie or bust phenomenon appears almost entirely limited to left-leaning young people, who are usually a small share of the overall electorate. This stands in contrast to many theories of Sanderss electoral appeal: For example, whites without a college degree a demographic some speculate Sanders could win over are actually more likely to say they will vote for Trump against Sanders than against the other Democrats. The same is true of the rest of the electorate, except left-leaning young people.
This finding in our data mirrors many other surveys: Morning Consult finds dramatic increases in young Americans stated turnout intentions when asked how they would vote in matchups between Sanders and Trump.
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Could Bernie Sanders Win This Time Around
In the same poll, 29 percent of Democrats thought Sanders was likely to beat Trump, while only 17 percent thought Biden would a precipitous 12-point drop for Biden from the organizations post-Iowa poll and a six-point increase for Sanders. .
The change in the two mens prospects is even more pronounced among black voters, who have been some of Bidens strongest supporters their perception of Biden as the most electable candidate fell 10 points to 21 percent, while Sanders rose nine points to 32 percent. That is especially bad for Biden considering that hes centered much of his pitch around being the safest bet against Trump a consideration many Democratic voters, particularly people of color, rank highly in their thinking.
Sanders Bowed Out As Path To Victory Disappeared
Three weeks and thousands of American COVID-19 cases later, Sanders concluded it would be better if he left the race to allow the party to unify around the presumptive nominee.
“Please know that I do not make this decision lightly,” he told his supporters. “If I believe we had a feasible path to the nomination I would continue, but it’s just not there.”
“But let me say this very emphatically: As you all know, we have never been just a campaign. We are a grassroots, multiracial, multigenerational movement.”
It’s the kind of thing that all politicians say when bowing out gracefully, but when Sanders says his campaign was more than a campaign, he really means it.
The Republicans in Congress and the President may not have been thinking about Sanders when they passed the first coronavirus bill, but there are echoes of his platform throughout it: government-subsidised healthcare, unemployment insurance, tax cuts to gig workers.
The conservative governments of America’s closest allies Australia and the UK have enacted similar stimulus packages despite standing opposite Sanders on the ideological spectrum.
At a time when the world is at its most dark and desperate, leaders have turned to some of the ideas Sanders has promoted for decades.
“It was not long ago that people considered these ideas radical and fringe,” Sanders said at the beginning of his speech on Thursday.
“Together we have transformed, in the American consciousness, what kind of nation we can become.”
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Joe Bidens Win In South Carolina Is Unlikely To Halt Bernies Momentum
What is at stake this year in American politics is enormous. In the primary elections, looking beyond the establishment may be the key to beating Donald Trump in November.
For all of 2019, Joe Biden claimed he was the best-placed Democrat to beat Trump in the November 2020 presidential election. This claim seemed reasonable in theory, until you actually listened to Biden meeting voters or debating his Democratic opponents. Biden on the stump or the debate stage is often a verbal train wreck: he has an uncanny ability to start any sentence with the opposite of what he is trying to say, and then needs to spend the rest of the sentence explaining what he meant to say.
Competing against the slick talking Peter Buttigieg and the clear and passionate Bernie Sanders, Biden has looked unimpressive. The early results in Iowa and New Hampshire reflected this. However, after the South Carolina primary this weekend, Joe Biden is declaring himself the comeback kid. The math tells us that Biden has once again spoken too soon. Only 63 delegates were at stake in South Carolina, and although Biden won a handsome share of these, it is important to know that 1,357 delegates are up for grabs this week in the Super Tuesday primaries, which are held across 14 states.
This article is published under a Creative Commons Licence and may be republished with attribution.
Aoc Is The Democrats Best Shot Against Trump In 2024
When Barack Obama came out of nowhere to win his Senate seat in 2004, it almost felt preordained. As if he was the person we had been waiting for to breathe fresh air into the Democratic Party.
Flash forward to 2018, and the meteoric rise of a 29-year-old bartender from Queens feels eerily similar. She has been unafraid, unapologetic and unwilling to bend to the will of Washington. She is a force to be reckoned with, and in 2024 Democrats are going to need her force to reckon with Republicans.
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is less of a personality and more of a movement. Yes, the smart, photogenic congresswoman is the face of the rising progressive movement, but she is also the future of the Democratic Party. AOC has cultivated a following beyond politics. Shes an influencer in its purest form. Her ability to relate to her supporters and allow them a glimpse into her private life is a blueprint for Democrats trying to act less like mannequins and more like humans.
Shes the voice of a movement that began after the banks were bailed out by the government, while homeowners were left to default. The simplicity with which she talks about everyday struggles hints that shes not just a persona for consumption. She isnt beholden to corporations, is a prodigious small-dollar fundraiser, and could out-Trump Trump like no other politician has been able to.
Michael Starr Hopkins is a founding partner at Northern Starr Strategies.
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How Has Sanders Responded
CNN quoted Warren aides as saying she had been told by Mr Sanders during a private meeting that a woman could not win.
In his response, he said the comment had been made up by “staff who weren’t in the room and are lying about what happened”.
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The Vermont senator told CNN: “It is ludicrous to believe that at the same meeting where Elizabeth Warren told me she was going to run for president, I would tell her that a woman couldn’t win.
“What I did say that night was that Donald Trump is a sexist, a racist and a liar who would weaponise whatever he could.
“Do I believe a woman can win in 2020? Of course! After all Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump by 3 million votes in 2016.”
But later on Monday, Ms Warren stood by the allegation. “Among the topics that came up was what would happen if Democrats nominated a female candidate,” she said in a statement.
“I thought a woman could win, he disagreed.” The Massachusetts senator added: “I have no interest in discussing this private meeting any further because Bernie and I have far more in common than our differences on punditry.”
She added that the two remained “friends and allies”.
Us Election: ‘sanders Said No Woman Could Win’ Warren Says
Democratic presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren claims rival Bernie Sanders told her a woman could not win this year’s presidential election.
Ms Warren said the comment was made during a two-hour meeting with Mr Sanders in 2018.
Mr Sanders denied the claim and insisted he believed a woman could beat President Donald Trump.
Mr Sanders and Ms Warren are the most prominent progressive candidates for the Democratic nomination.
Their spat has left an unstated non-aggression pact between them in tatters and is likely to come up at a live televised debate on Tuesday night in Des Moines, Iowa.
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Bernie Sanders Would Have Beaten Donald Trump In 2016 According To ‘every Single Poll’ Says Senator’s Wife
As independent Senator Bernie Sanders gears up for a possible 2020 bid for president, the Vermont lawmaker’s wife said that had Sanders won the Democratic nomination in 2016, he would have defeated Donald Trump in the general election.
When asked by the Associated Press about Sanders’s chances of success in 2020, Jane O’Meara Sanders said that “every single poll” showed that her husband would have taken down Trump two years ago. The senator never had the chance to go head-to-head with the Republican nominee after losing the Democratic primary to Hillary Clinton.
But many polls that hypothetically paired the two candidates showed Sanders with a large lead over Trump. According to RealClear Politics data, NBC/Wall Street Journal surveys had the independent lawmaker up by an average of 9 points. CBS News/New York Times polls showed Sanders ahead by an average of 15 points.
Sanders himself pointed out that he fared much better against the real estate mogul than Clinton, telling NBC during an interview in spring 2016 that “right now, in every major poll, national poll and statewide poll done in the last month, six weeks, we are defeating Trump, often by big numbers and always at a larger margin than Secretary Clinton is.”
When asked about 2020, O’Meara Sanders said that the guiding question regarding potential candidates will be: “Who can beat Donald Trump?