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Can Joe Biden Beat Trump

Joe Biden Told Barack Obama He Will Run Again In 2024 Report

Can Biden Beat Trump From The Comfort Of His Basement? | Morning Joe | MSNBC

President thinks hes the only one who can beat Trump, source tells the Hill, as Trump is readying his own third run

Joe Biden has told Barack Obama he will run for re-election in 2024, according to a Washington website, the Hill.

The site cited two anonymous sources. One was quoted as saying Biden wants to run and hes clearly letting everyone know.

It was not clear when Biden told Obama his plans. But Obama visited the White House earlier this month, to celebrate the Affordable Care Act.

Introducing his host, Obama him Vice-President Biden.

That was a joke, he said, to laughter.

Biden was vice-president to Obama from 2009 to 2017. He won the presidency on his own third attempt in 2020 , beating Donald Trump.

At 78, Biden was the oldest president ever inaugurated. If he won again he would be 82 at the start of his second term.

Amid competing crises, from the Russian invasion of Ukraine to the coronavirus and rampant inflation at home, Bidens approval ratings have plummeted. Most observers expect Republicans to retake Congress in November. But the president has dropped plenty of hints that he does plan to run again.

In September, it was widely reported that Biden and aides had told allies he planned to run again. In December, Biden said he would run if he stayed in good health. He has also said Kamala Harris, his vice-president, would be on the ticket again.

Trump, 75, is readying his own third run for the presidency.

Rural Areas: Trump Gains But Not By Enough

There are a lot of ways to slice the election results .

You can look at the raw votes each candidate won. You can look at the percentage each got. You can look at the net difference between candidates votes.

Biden got a larger percentage of votes in many of Pennsylvanias smaller, largely white rural counties than Clinton did, but in many of them, Trump actually received more net votes this year than in 2016. The counties were a little less red but Trump still received a boost from them.

Consider your favorite Thanksgiving pie, and how you slice it. If you bought a much larger pie this year, even a smaller slice of it can be much more pie than you had last year.

So in Cambria County in Southwest Pennsylvania, where Trump held a mid-October rally, his share of the two-party vote dipped ever so slightly, from 69.1% to 68.89%, but he still picked up 2,964 votes.

Thats a small increase, but similar small increases, added together across the states many rural areas, kept Trump competitive.

The problem for the president was he needed to run up the score even more in these places. Instead, by boosting the Democratic share of the vote, Biden prevented Trump from running away with even greater margins in rural and small-town Pennsylvania.

Chipping away at it, as Shippensburg University political science professor Alison Dagnes said.

Trump did lose a little better than two-ish points, and that matters, Dagnes said. Every vote adds up.

Why Joe Biden Will Beat Donald Trump In Election 2020

So, the 2020 American election has just gotten underway. And this might be the most important American election of recent memory. At this very moment, the nation is in crisis and faces a critical moment in history. A very divided America is making its choice between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden with tense political divisions worsened by the worst public health crisis in over 100 years. The country is also facing an economic collapse that has seen millions of Americans become unemployed, amid unsettled racial tension and police brutality.

Although the polls are looking increasingly close, I just happen to be one of those who strongly believe that Vice President Joe Biden will emerge victorious in this race. Call it wishful thought, in my analysis, Biden will take the day.

In explaining why Joe Biden will beat Donald Trump for the American Presidential seat, one has to venture to the very beginning to really understand how and why Donald Trump was successful to become President in the first place back in 2016.

In this present election, the trajectory of the electoral map of America will be quite different than it was in 2016 should Biden emerge winner. To properly understand where and how the chips fall in the politics of the Presidency of America, one needs to know that the voting trend of the country is divided into three groups those in the rural areas, the urban dwellers and the Suburbanites.

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Joe Biden Would Beat Donald Trump In The General Election Polling Shows

Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden would beat President Donald Trump in the general election if it were held today, new polling has shown.

An average of recent national surveys compiled by Real Clear Politics showed Biden, who served as vice president under former President Barack Obama, ahead of Trump by an average of nearly 6 points. Overall, Biden is backed by an average of 48.3 percent of voters while the president is supported by just 42.4 percent.

Meanwhile, Biden also leads Trump in the battleground states of Wisconsin, Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Arizona. Trump still appears to have a slim advantage in North Carolina, but the most recent poll conducted in the state actually showed Biden ahead by 1 point as well.

In Wisconsin, Biden is ahead by an average of 2.7 points, while he leads by 3.2 percent in Florida. The former vice president has a more comfortable lead in Pennsylvania, where he is ahead by an average of 6.7 percent. Even in Arizona, which has voted for the Republican presidential candidate in every general election since 2000, Biden leads Trump by an average 4.4 points. Meanwhile, Biden is ahead by about 5.5 points in Michigan.

When Does Joe Biden Become President

POLL: Democrats

First the votes need to be certified in each of the states. Thats usually a formality and happens in the next few weeks.

Its written in the US Constitution that the new term of office begins on 20 January at noon.

It happens at a ceremony called the inauguration which takes place in the capital, Washington DC. The new president and vice-president take an oath of office administered by the Supreme Court chief justice.

So expect to see Joe Biden and Kamala Harris inaugurated on 20 January 2021.

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Hillary Was The Easiest Candidate That Donald Trump Could Have Faced

This was probably the most important factor that tipped the election. The first 2 points that we discussed along with having Hillary Clinton as the Democratic candidate was a lethal combination. Theres something about Hillary that rubs a lot of people in the wrong way. And its not only Republicans many Democrats dont like her either. Bernie Sanders didnt help with this likability problem at all. More like the contrary, he hurt Hillary a lot during the Democratic primary by labeling her as part of the establishment and working more for the big corporations than the working class. DT had it easy in the debates to pick on her. Whether it was Bengazi, her husband, their foundation, or the damn emails DT was always painting the picture of a career and corrupt politician that felt entitled to be President. This made a lot of Democrats stay home. Many thought Theres no way Im voting for Donald Trump but Im not going to vote for Hillary either. I think most of the Democrats that did this never thought, not even in their wildest nightmare, that DT could actually win. Thats why they decided to stay home.

So, thats it? Joe Biden is poised to win this election no matter how, right? Not so fast!

The problem with Joe Biden isJoe Biden.

Of course, Im ignoring many other present and future aspects that will influence the election. Including the huge elephant in the room, the pandemic that has the whole world in a full lockdown .

1 The poor response that DT had to it .

What If Trump Doesnt Concede

Donald Trump has previously said he will contest the results. If his efforts to do so are unsuccessful, the pressure on him to publicly admit defeat will mount. But does he have to?

The concession phone call from a losing candidate to the victor is a respected tradition of American politics. It is by no means obligatory, however.

In 2018, for instance, Democratic governor candidate Stacey Abrams claimed voter fraud and intimidation and never conceded to Brian Kemp, her Republican opponent.

Thats never happened in a modern presidential race, however. But as in Georgia, as long as election results are legally processed and certified, the machinery of government will grind on, regardless of what Mr Trump may do.

While Mr Trump doesnt have to concede, or even put on a good face and attend Mr Bidens inauguration, he does have some legal obligations. He must authorise his administration to make the logistical preparations for Bidens team to take over.

Donald Trump ascended to the presidency as an unconventional candidate unafraid to break long-established norms and traditions. If he so desires, he could exit the office that way, as well.

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Joe Biden Had To Beat Donald Trump With One Hand Tied Behind His Back

President-elect Joe Biden just did something incredibly difficult: He defeated an incumbent president for the first time in 28 years, and only the fifth time in 100. Beyond overcoming the traditional advantages held by an incumbent, Biden had to maneuver through the archaic Electoral College, which denied the clear winner of the popular vote an easy victory. He also had to surmount a stunning series of decisions by conservative courts and Republican legislatures that made it harder both to vote and to count the vote. And finally, there was Donald Trumps unprecedented and perhaps illegal use of federal government resources to aid his reelection bid.

If Biden had racked up only a slightly slimmer lead in key states, these obstacles might have cost the Democrat the election, even if hed maintained a large lead in the popular vote. Now that he has defeated this increasingly broken system, he will face many urgent calls to reform it.

Bidens biggest obstacle was the same one that tripped up Hillary Clinton in 2016 and Al Gore in 2000: the Electoral College. The only reason his election was called a nail-biter by the press was because he needed to win a select group of states with competitive electorates. The reality, in the popular vote, is that the election was not remotely close.

Summiting the Electoral College was made even harder for Biden by legal obstacles put in place by state governments and federal courts.

A Quiet Candidate In A Loud Time

Smerconish: Why Trump can beat Biden in 2024

The tendency in every election is to refight the last war and counter the previous elections winning strategy. In 2016, Trump won a shocking upset in part by dominating media attention. He was inescapable, inexhaustible. And so a conventional wisdom quickly congealed: To beat Trump, in the modern era of social media-driven politics, you had to disrupt his ability to set the agenda, shut down his talent for controlling the conversation. You needed to fight him on Twitter, on Reddit, on Facebook, on YouTube.

But Biden simply refused. Biden Is Losing the Internet. Does That Matter? fretted an April New York Times headline. Mr. Biden has just 32,000 subscribers on , a pittance compared with some of his rivals in the Democratic primary race and roughly 300,000 fewer than President Trump, it warned.

Biden ran an oddly modest campaign, and it got even quieter after the coronavirus hit and in-person events ceased. Does Biden Need a Higher Gear? Some Democrats Think So, warned a Times article in September, in which a variety of Democrats worried over the way Bidens restraint has spilled over into his campaign operation. Trump was holding daily press conferences, appearing at rallies, owning the nations attention. Where was Biden?

Bidens strategy worked in the context of Trumps presidency. And now well see how it holds up in Bidens presidency.

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Opinionkamala Harris Candidacy Requires A Nuanced Debate About Her Record Race And Gender Is The Left Ready

When it comes to Bidens likability, he soars among almost every demographic and is more favorable than Donald Trump . However, Biden also sits atop all the potential 2020 candidates as the only candidate with a favorability over 50 percent, according to late December Quinnipiac polling.

Biden has a track record of working across the aisle to get things done. Biden was the guy who negotiated the fiscal cliff deal with Senator Mitch McConnell as well as a major part of the 2010 deal that extended the Bush tax cuts, because he doesnt view Republicans as enemies, he knows he needs to work with them in order to get things done. This is exactly the right tone that needs to be set on the campaign trail especially as Republican voters in general and Trump supporters in particular feel vilified by the media.

Just this week, he responded to criticism of himself in the New York Times for being bipartisan saying, I read in the New York Times today that one of my problems if I were to run for president, I like Republicans. OK, well bless me father for I have sinned.

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Could Donald Trump Beat Joe Biden Kamala Harris In 2024 His Chances Against Democrats

Former President Donald Trump may be gearing up for a 2024 presidential run and recent polls indicated a rematch between Trump and President Joe Biden or Vice President Kamala Harris could go in his favor.

Trump’s been hinting at a 2024 presidential run since he left office and has all but said he planned to make a bid for the White House. Biden also intends to run for reelection in 2024 and if he does, it’s likely the Democratic Party would throw its weight behind the incumbent president, but his falling approval rating could spell trouble for him in a head-to-head matchup with Trump.

Amid the continuing COVID-19 pandemic and America’s withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan, Biden has seen his approval rating drop. While his average approval is still above where Trump’s approval was at this point in his presidency, a new poll from Quinnipiac University found the two were on even footing.

“Battered on trust, doubted on leadership, and challenged on overall competency, President Biden is being hammered on all sides as his approval rating continues its downward slide to a number not seen since the tough scrutiny of the Trump administration,” Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said in a statement.

Harris’ approval rating is still underwater, but polls indicated it may be rebounding and the Gallup poll found she had a 49 percent approval rating, six points higher than Biden’s. Her approval rating was higher than Biden’s among Independents, at 46 percent.

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